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Graham News

    Prediction markets for Graham

    Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

    Nov 30, 7:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    289210894

    OptionProbability

    Zohran Mamdani

    Other

    James Talarico

    Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)

    Mark Carney

    Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including 'ChatGPT', 'Gemini', etc)

    Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

    Dario Amodei

    Xi Jinping

    Elon Musk

    Jon Ossoff

    Sam Altman

    Benjamin Netanyahu

    AOC

    Marco Rubio

    Vladimir Putin

    Gavin Newsom

    Jerome Powell

    Sydney Sweeney

    Demis Hassabis

    Larry Ellison

    Jensen Huang

    Gen Z

    Jeffrey Epstein

    Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

    Nicholas Maduro

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Self Driving Cars (Including 'Waymo', 'Uber', etc)

    Lisa Su

    Fei-Fei Li

    Humanoid Robots (Including 'Optimus', 'Atlas', etc)

    Millenials

    Gen X

    Baby Boomers

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Scott Bessent

    Sundar Pichai

    Narendra Modi

    Ursula von der Leyen

    Jasmine Crockett

    Graham Platner

    Kevin Hassett

    Gen Alpha

    Claudia Sheinbaum

    Cryptocurrency (Including 'Bitcoin', 'Etherium', etc)

    Ahmed al-Sharaa

    Prediction Markets [Or associated person, company, etc]

    Bad Bunny

    Kevin Warsh

    Pete Hegseth

    24

    20

    13

    11

    10

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Zohran Mamdani

    Pope Leo XIV

    Donald Trump

    Mark Carney

    James Talarico

    Elon Musk

    Dario Amodei

    JD Vance

    Bad Bunny

    Marco Rubio

    Benjamin Netanyahu

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Sam Altman

    Alysa Liu

    Xi Jinping

    Péter Magyar

    Victor Glover

    Mojtaba Khamenei

    Delcy Rodriguez

    Christina Koch

    Jeremy Hansen

    Reid Wiseman

    Taylor Swift

    Jerome Powell

    Kevin Warsh

    Vladimir Putin

    Tucker Carlson

    Gavin Newsom

    Ro Khanna

    Thomas Massie

    Pedro Sanchez

    Reza Pahlavi

    Kylian Mbappe

    Megyn Kelly

    Anthony Albanese

    Sultan Haitham bin Tarik Al Said

    Candace Owens

    Jacinda Ardern

    Graham Platner

    85

    83

    64

    61

    53

    45

    38

    30

    28

    28

    27

    27

    25

    20

    19

    18

    17

    16

    16

    16

    16

    13

    11

    10

    10

    10

    10

    9

    7

    6

    5

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    2

    1

    Was Lindsay Graham intentionally killed?

    Jul 12, 9:20 PMDec 31, 10:12 PM
    5.69%chance
    218280

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    4069

    246

    OptionProbability

    Before January 2027

    Before Nov 2026

    Before Dec 2026

    Before Oct 2026

    2027 or later or never

    Before Sep 2026

    Before Aug 2026

    89

    86

    86

    77

    26

    17

    10

    Does Aubrey 'Drake' Graham have a daughter born in or before 2013?

    May 4, 9:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    12.48%chance
    343502

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2649

    364

    Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI, after Sam Altman?

    Nov 22, 9:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    273011

    OptionProbability

    Other

    [None - Position will cease to exist]

    Mira Murati

    Elon Musk

    Greg Brockman

    Sam Altman

    Bret Taylor

    Larry Summers

    Adam D'Angelo

    Andrej Karpathy

    Eric Schmidt

    Paul Graham

    Peter Thiel

    Wojciech Zaremba

    Ben Horowitz

    Jessica Livingston

    Marc Benioff

    Sheryl Sandberg

    Tim Cook

    John Doerr

    Reed Hastings

    Fei Fei Lee

    Alexander Wang

    George Hotz

    Brad Lightcap

    Bob Mcgrew

    Peter Welinder

    Jason Kwon

    Mark Chen

    Helen Toner

    Ilya Sutskever

    Emmett Shear

    Dario Amodei

    Satya Nadela

    Jeff Bezos

    Demis Hassabis

    Robin Li

    Clément Delangue

    Lila Ibrahim

    Alex Karp

    Reid Hoffman

    Raquel Urtasun

    Marc Andreessen

    Aidan Gomez

    Sandra Rivera

    Gary Marcus

    Jaime Teevan

    Sundar Pichai

    Jack Clark

    Anna Makanju

    Shane Legg

    Andrew Ng

    Pushmeet Kohli

    Yann LeCun

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Yoshua Bengio

    Hinton

    Marissa Mayer

    Spencer Rascoff

    Garry Tan

    52

    12

    4

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Alexandria Ocasio Cortez

    Elissa Slotkin

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Pete Buttigieg

    Wes Moore

    Josh Shapiro

    Gavin Newsom

    Adam Schiff

    Zohran Mamdani

    Jasmine Crockett

    Tim Walz

    Kirsten Gillibrand

    Graham Platner

    51

    10

    7

    6

    6

    6

    4

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    Will Lindsey Graham be Reelected?

    Nov 21, 1:07 PMNov 11, 5:59 AM
    141444

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Lindsey Graham

    Nancy Mace

    Ralph Norman

    Nikki Haley

    Henry McMaster

    97

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Donald Trump

    Rick Scott

    JD Vance

    Mike Johnson

    Ted Cruz

    Dave McCormick

    Josh Hawley

    John Thune

    John Cornyn

    Rand Paul

    Lindsey Graham

    100

    61

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    0

    Did Russia assassinate Lindsey Graham?

    Jul 13, 11:06 AMJan 1, 12:04 PM
    5.29%chance
    17904

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    423

    24

    Will Darline Graham run for senate in 2028?

    Nov 4, 11:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    29.39%chance
    457

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    155

    65

    Graham Platner divorced by EOY 2027?

    Jul 9, 3:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    30.87%chance
    453

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    101

    97

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