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Prediction markets for Hadar
Will it be exposed that Esmail Qaani is an Israeli spy, by EOY 2025
Oct 10, 12:37 PMJan 17, 9:59 PM
17.96%chance
1510265
OptionVotes
2137
468
OptionVotes
3245
676
Will any Israeli soldier be reported killed as a result of hostile activity on the Syrian front by December 31, 2025?
Jul 16, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.22%chance
122253
OptionVotes
1871
535
OptionVotes
1107
903
Will Scott Alexander attend an ACX meet up in Israel before 2028?
Oct 29, 7:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.93%chance
10379
OptionVotes
301
33
כמה אנשים יגיעו למפגש הסיום של הפודקאסט הארי פוטר והשיטה הרציונלית?
Jan 19, 9:03 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM
4206
OptionProbability
25
17
15
14
9
7
5
5
2
2
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