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Top stories

US Orders Sudden Pull-Out From Iraq’s Ain al-Asad, Victoria Bases

US Foreign Policy

US Orders Sudden Pull-Out From Iraq’s Ain al-Asad, Victoria Bases

Authors

3

10 months ago

Kurdish Forces Detain Lahur Sheikh Jangi After Sulaymaniyah Shoot-out

Kurdish Forces Detain Lahur Sheikh Jangi After Sulaymaniyah Shoot-out

Authors

4

10 months ago

Air Force Reverses Stance, Grants Military Honors to Ashli Babbitt

US Domestic Policy

Air Force Reverses Stance, Grants Military Honors to Ashli Babbitt

Authors

33

10 months ago

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

Steve Bannon Calls for Accountability on Abbey Gate Anniversary, Criticizes H-1B Visa Program and CCP Influence

Authors

4

10 months ago

Iraq Begins Excavation of Khasfa Mass Grave Near Mosul Holding 3,000-15,000 IS Victims Including Yazidis

Authors

15

10 months ago

Iran’s Larijani Says Missile Strikes Overwhelmed Israel’s Defences, Warns of Infiltration

Authors

3

10 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Netanyahu Affirms Greater Israel Vision Amid Iraq Oil Export Plans, Turkey-Syria Military Pact, and Trump Supports Gaza Journalist Access

Authors

34

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Iraq

Will "'ISIS' cease to exist" "once [US forces are] gone" from Syria and Iraq?

Aug 27, 10:32 PMSep 4, 9:59 PM

11.49%chance

18910

OptionVotes

YES

NO

463

61

Will the United States military fully leave Iraq by the end of 2028?

Mar 15, 3:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.36%chance

14885

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1027

961

Will Israel attack Iraq in August 2026?

Apr 18, 12:45 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

29.6%chance

4134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

65

Will Israel attack Iraq in 2029?

Apr 18, 2:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32%chance

9127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

69

Will any of Iraq, Brunei or Jordan win the 2026 Annual Warrior Competition?

Feb 2, 8:09 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

67.36%chance

596

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

70

Will Israel attack Iraq in July 2026?

Apr 18, 12:44 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

26%chance

584

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

Will Israel attack Iraq in 2028?

Apr 18, 2:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.71%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Will Israel attack Iraq in 2033?

May 9, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.44%chance

552

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

93

Will Israel attack Iraq in 2036?

May 24, 6:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.03%chance

533

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

85

Will "Lessons from the Iraq War for AI policy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 11, 3:33 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will Israel attack Iraq in 2031?

May 2, 12:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.09%chance

26

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

94

Will Israel attack Iraq in 2034?

May 11, 2:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

12

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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