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Top stories

US Orders Sudden Pull-Out From Iraq’s Ain al-Asad, Victoria Bases

US Foreign Policy

US Orders Sudden Pull-Out From Iraq’s Ain al-Asad, Victoria Bases

Authors

3

1 year ago

Kurdish Forces Detain Lahur Sheikh Jangi After Sulaymaniyah Shoot-out

Kurdish Forces Detain Lahur Sheikh Jangi After Sulaymaniyah Shoot-out

Authors

4

1 year ago

Air Force Reverses Stance, Grants Military Honors to Ashli Babbitt

US Domestic Policy

Air Force Reverses Stance, Grants Military Honors to Ashli Babbitt

Authors

33

11 months ago

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

Steve Bannon Calls for Accountability on Abbey Gate Anniversary, Criticizes H-1B Visa Program and CCP Influence

Authors

4

1 year ago

Iraq Begins Excavation of Khasfa Mass Grave Near Mosul Holding 3,000-15,000 IS Victims Including Yazidis

Authors

15

1 year ago

Iran’s Larijani Says Missile Strikes Overwhelmed Israel’s Defences, Warns of Infiltration

Authors

3

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

Netanyahu Affirms Greater Israel Vision Amid Iraq Oil Export Plans, Turkey-Syria Military Pact, and Trump Supports Gaza Journalist Access

Authors

34

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Iraq

Will the United States military fully leave Iraq by the end of 2028?

Mar 15, 3:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.72%chance

161138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1163

888

Will "'ISIS' cease to exist" "once [US forces are] gone" from Syria and Iraq?

Aug 27, 10:32 PMSep 4, 9:59 PM

11.49%chance

18910

OptionVotes

YES

NO

463

61

Will Israel attack Iraq in 2030?

Apr 26, 2:59 PMJan 1, 4:42 AM

15.8%chance

5183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

231

43

Will Israel attack Iraq in 2037?

May 30, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.22%chance

6128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

66

Will Israel attack Iraq in 2029?

Apr 18, 2:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32%chance

9127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

69

Will any of Iraq, Brunei or Jordan win the 2026 Annual Warrior Competition?

Feb 2, 8:09 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

71.29%chance

5102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

158

63

Will Israel attack Iraq in 2027?

Apr 18, 2:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.8%chance

4100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

73

Will Israel attack Iraq in 2028?

Apr 18, 2:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.71%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Will Israel attack Iraq in 2033?

May 9, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.44%chance

552

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

93

Will Israel attack Iraq in 2035?

May 23, 2:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.55%chance

325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

99

Will "Lessons from the Iraq War for AI policy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 11, 3:33 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will Israel attack Iraq in 2032?

May 2, 6:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.09%chance

26

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

94

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