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Prediction markets for Islands
Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Nov 8, 8:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
23.45%chance
5615753
OptionVotes
1807
554
Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Nov 8, 8:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
37.72%chance
4311572
OptionVotes
2345
1740
Will Britain agree on a deal to give Mauritius the Chagos islands by the end of 2025?
Jan 14, 10:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
79.58%chance
267285
OptionVotes
1974
507
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
Dec 10, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
22.66%chance
354516
OptionVotes
1005
915
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
39.04%chance
261911
OptionVotes
1073
850
Would US Destroy Taiwan’s Semiconductor Industries in the Event of Imminent PRC Control of the Island?
Mar 22, 1:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
39.1%chance
251344
OptionVotes
1043
905
Will the .io ccTLD be substantially affected by the cession of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius?
Oct 11, 2:43 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM
30.12%chance
11954
OptionVotes
1523
657
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
34.57%chance
26867
OptionVotes
1039
904
OptionVotes
1424
879
Will unit 1 of the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant restart before 2029?
Sep 20, 1:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
63.44%chance
9578
OptionVotes
1317
759
OptionVotes
1510
662
South Korea: Will Gadeok Island New Airport open before 2030?
Apr 23, 1:02 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM
32.59%chance
485
OptionVotes
1063
955
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