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Prediction markets for Latvia
Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?
Jan 21, 1:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
23.08%chance
10028985
OptionVotes
1181
1044
OptionProbability
99
96
95
94
93
93
93
92
90
88
86
85
85
80
80
78
75
75
68
64
64
64
61
54
53
45
44
44
43
40
34
33
32
31
24
20
16
14
13
13
12
12
10
9
9
8
7
5
5
5
4
4
4
3
OptionProbability
46
15
8
8
5
5
4
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺
Mar 1, 11:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
775441
OptionProbability
93
59
59
54
54
52
43
34
34
33
32
28
28
27
25
25
24
22
19
18
18
13
12
12
11
11
10
OptionProbability
75
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
23
21
20
20
20
20
20
19
18
18
18
17
17
17
16
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
14
13
11
6
5
What will be the next country attacked by Russia after Ukraine?
May 12, 5:47 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
381635
OptionProbability
26
20
18
10
5
5
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
If there is Russia-NATO war by 2030, which NATO country gets invaded the first?
Jan 15, 2:07 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
301562
OptionProbability
34
28
14
9
7
5
2
1
0
OptionProbability
20
14
6
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
OptionProbability
88
73
71
53
50
44
41
37
35
31
27
25
21
16
Which of the Western countries will first implement a social credit system or a similar digital gulag institution?
Sep 1, 2:57 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM
7313
OptionProbability
10
9
7
6
6
5
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
Which countries will join the European Space Agency as full members before 2031?
Mar 11, 7:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
598
OptionProbability
55
54
52
41
36
36
31
20