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Prediction markets for Legislature
US legislature (House or Senate) fails to swear in / seat an elected member after midterms
Feb 7, 8:33 PMJan 4, 11:59 PM
23.49%chance
71688
OptionVotes
1805
554
OptionProbability
84
70
67
57
54
54
52
50
47
43
43
38
26
25
24
21
9
Will the California legislature override any gubernatorial veto by the end of 2027
Sep 14, 11:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.18%chance
5828
OptionVotes
1724
580
Dems+GOP at all times hold >96% of each: US House, Senate, Governors, and state legislatures
Sep 6, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
93%chance
5801
OptionVotes
356
101
Will any of the following Western countries' legislatures be majority controlled by explicitly fascist or communist political parties before 2030?
Feb 8, 10:43 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
23.64%chance
21561
OptionVotes
1189
926
Will Spain approve a tax on properties bought by non-EU residents during the current Sánchez legislature?
Jan 15, 5:27 PMFeb 1, 1:00 AM
52.52%chance
17422
OptionVotes
105
95
Will the current Austrian coalition last until the end of the legislature period?
Nov 26, 9:30 AMJul 31, 10:59 PM
61.44%chance
4360
OptionVotes
1262
792
Members of the legislature (congress, parliament) in a country come to blows this year? mega-market
Mar 22, 7:24 PMDec 31, 8:16 PM
6105
OptionProbability
54
51
46
44
41
15
Massachusetts auditor to audit state legislature by January 2027?
Aug 2, 4:40 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM
50.88%chance
587
OptionVotes
102
98
OptionProbability
38
27
23
12
Will any US state or DC use proportional representation for their state legislatures by the end of 2028?
Feb 20, 4:44 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
22.57%chance
573
OptionVotes
203
95
Democrats flip at least one NH state legislature chamber?
Jan 6, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
80.66%chance
225
OptionVotes
103
99
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