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Libya News

Libya

Italy

World

Three Sudanese Sisters Die as RESQSHIP Rescues Dozens off Libya

1 year ago

Libya

Politics

World

UN Sets 12–18-Month Libya Roadmap, Egypt Voices Support

1 year ago

Europe

Libya

World

Libyan Coast Guard Fires Multiple Bullets on SOS Mediterranee Vessel Ocean Viking Carrying 87 Migrants, Causing Damage but No Casualties

11 months ago

Middle East

US Foreign Policy

Politics

Iran’s Abbas Araghchi Rejects Concessions as Ali Larijani Considers NPT Withdrawal Ahead of European Snapback Sanctions Talks

1 year ago

Europe

North Africa

Politics

Mediterranean Migrant Deaths Persist a Decade After EU Crisis

1 year ago

Which team will win the 2030 FIFA World Cup?

Jul 25, 10:29 AMSep 30, 11:34 PM

52238895

OptionProbability

Spain

France

Portugal

Argentina

England

Brazil

Germany

Egypt

Ecuador

Italy

Netherlands

Colombia

Uruguay

Belgium

Japan

Norway

Denmark

Morocco

Croatia

Switzerland

USA

Senegal

Austria

Algeria

Greece

Republic of Ireland

Mexico

Nigeria

Turkiye

Australia

Canada

Sweden

Wales

Hungary

Peru

Finland

Iran

Cote d'Ivoire

Ukraine

Paraguay

Russia

Poland

Serbia

Congo DR

Scotland

Cameroon

Panama

Slovakia

Venezuela

Czechia

Chile

Costa Rica

Romania

Mali

South Africa

Slovenia

Saudi Arabia

Qatar

Uzbekistan

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Burkina Faso

Iraq

Cabo Verde

Ghana

Honduras

Albania

United Arab Emirates

North Macedonia

Northern Ireland

Jamaica

Georgia

Jordan

Iceland

Israel

Bolivia

Kosovo

Oman

Montenegro

Guinea

Curacao

Syria

Gabon

Bulgaria

New Zealand

Angola

Haiti

Uganda

China PR

Bahrain

Benin

Thailand

Palestine

Belarus

Guatemala

Luxembourg

Vietnam

El Salvador

Tajikistan

Trinidad and Tobago

Mozambique

Korea Republic

DPR Korea

Zambia

Madagascar

Armenia

Kenya

Tanzania

Niger

Indonesia

Namibia

Cyprus

Faroe Islands

Estonia

Nicaragua

Philippines

Malaysia

India

Liberia

Turkmenistan

Dominican Republic

Singapore

Lithuania

Hong Kong

Afghanistan

Chinese Taipei

Bangladesh

Mongolia

Pakistan

Liechtenstein

Laos

Chad

Barbados

Nepal

Cambodia

Andorra

Cuba

Moldova

Ethiopia

Latvia

Kuwait

Zimbabwe

Rwanda

Azerbaijan

Suriname

Sierra Leone

Togo

The Gambia

Lebanon

Libya

Comoros

Kyrgyz Republic

Equatorial Guinea

Kazakhstan

Mauritania

Sudan

Malawi

Guinea-Bissau

Central African Republic

Burundi

Yemen

Lesotho

Botswana

Guyana

New Caledonia

Solomon Islands

Fiji

Tahiti

Myanmar

Vanuatu

Malta

Grenada

Eswatini

Bermuda

Papua New Guinea

South Sudan

Belize

Aruba

Bhutan

Macau

Brunei

Djibouti

Somalia

Tonga

Guam

Timor-Leste

Gibraltar

Seychelles

Bahamas

San Marino

Anguilla

Cayman Islands

Sao Tome and Principe

Sri Lanka

Dominica

Montserrat

Maldives

St. Lucia

Antigua and Barbuda

Puerto Rico

St. Kitts and Nevis

World Conflict Prop Bets 2025-2027 [High Liquidity]

Jun 25, 3:43 PMDec 31, 5:59 PM

19276386

OptionProbability

Iran and Israel both sign (or publicly accept) a written cease-fire or peace agreement, and no lethal exchange of fire between their regular forces occurs for the following 30 consecutive days

Autonomous lethal drones (no human on the kill-decision loop) are acknowledged by any state to have been used in combat

A cease-fire or peace deal is violated by Israel

Min Aung Hlaing ceases to serve as either (a) Chairman of the State Administration Council or (b) Commander-in-Chief of the Myanmar Armed Forces

Thailand's Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra resigns

Government official from Mexico attends the 2025 BRICS Summit

Iran - Israel War ends in 2025 (ceasefire last at least 90 days (September 22, 2025) or peace deal is signed)

A new non-majority Muslim (according to CIA Factbook) state becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

≥ 25 fatalities in Cambodia-Thailand border clashes

DRC & Rwanda sign USA-brokered peace agreement

≥ 1,500 Palestinians killed near Gaza aid hubs

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash ends in ceasefire in 2025

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash ends in ceasefire before October 1, 2025

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash ceasefire is broken

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash reignites (fighting resumes)

Indonesia becomes a member of BRICS

World leader of 20m+ population country is assassinated

United States government arrests president Nicolas Maduro of Venezuela

At any point more than 5,000 USA National Guard Troops domestically deployed

Saudi Arabia prices oil exports to China in Yuan (CNY)

India's 2026-2027 Defence Budget exceeds ₹7.5 lakh crore

A new cease-fire between Iran and United States OR Israel is declared post Feb 28, 2026

United States troops enter Iran

Donald Trump and Iran work out a "deal" to cease hostilities (even temporarily)

Benjamin Netanyahu alive as of April 30, 2026

Kim Jong Un remains General Secretary of the Workers' Party of Korea (or equivalent title)

Russia remains a permanent member of UN Security Council

Donald Trump remains President of USA

Xi Jinping remains General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party

Claudia Sheinbaum remains President of Mexico

Vladimir Putin remains President of Russia

USA and Iran agree to a new cease fire post April 10, 2026

Volodymyr Zelenskyy remains President of Ukraine

Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba

An armed non-state group captures and holds the capital city of a UN-recognised state for ≥72 hours

Iran and Israel agree to a Cease Fire

Ukraine - Russia War halted by Ceasefire

Hostile military action by United States against Cuba

Russian-Ukraine War continues through end of 2026 with no Cease-fire or Peace Agreement

A cyber-attack officially attributed to a foreign state actor causes ≥US $1 billion in insured losses to a single country

A new ceasefire between Israel and Gaza is announced by Donald Trump

123

Iran-Israel War continues through end of 2026 with no Cease-fire or Peace Agreement

A country declares war on Israel

A cease-fire or peace deal is violated by Iran

A drone attacks a head of state (hits or lands within 30 meters)

Nigeria becomes a member of BRICS

Algeria becomes a member of BRICS

A state shoot-down of a spacecraft or satellite in orbit is publicly confirmed

North Korea conducts a nuclear weapons test

A 5th-generation fighter jet is confirmed to have been destroyed in air/shot down (not including being damaged from an airfield bombing)

Azerbaijan becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Trump, Putin, & Zelensky meet together in the same room

The U.S. suffers ≥50 combat fatalities in a single new overseas operation—defined as a country where no U.S. combat deaths occurred in 2024

At least 5,000 uniformed personnel belonging to a UN-Security-Council-authorized security or peace-keeping mission are physically deployed in Haiti

Russia sells or scraps it's only aircraft carrier; the Admiral Kuznetsov

China declares an air- or maritime-exclusion zone covering any part of Taiwan’s territorial sea or airspace

Russian armed forces intentionally attack uniformed personnel or sovereign assets of any NATO member state, or vice-versa

Kazakhstan becomes a member of BRICS

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in Europe

USA performs military action (troops/special forces deployed or airstrike/missile strike) in Mexico resulting in confirmed deaths

An armed clash between India and Pakistan results in ≥100 military fatalities in a 7-day period

Ukraine - Russia War ends with a peace treaty

Vladimir Putin is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Non-PSUV candidate inaugurated as next President of Venezuela

Any EU member invokes Article 42 (7) of the Treaty on European Union in response to an armed attack

Saudi Arabia becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Uniformed armed forces in any G20 member state attempt to seize executive power from the constitutional head of government

Turkey invokes NATO Article 4 consultations

Any signatory of the CTBT tests a nuclear weapon

North Korea provides missile(s) to Iran

1+ deaths attributed to a rogue AI

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in United States

North Korea - South Korea results in any civilian deaths

Egypt formally declares war on another country

At least three sovereign states outside NATO, EU, ANZUS, or the Quad sign a formal mutual-defence treaty deposited with the UN Treaty Series

Successful military coup in Venezuela

Any NATO country formally declares war on another country

The IAEA publicly reports that Iran possesses uranium enriched to ≥90 % U-235

Japan launches a domestically-built intermediate-range ballistic missile (>3 000 km advertised range) test

A head of state from a G20 country is assassinated

Mexico becomes a member of BRICS

An armed clash in the Shaksgam Valley between India & China resulting in ≥10 fatalities in a 7-day period

Oil prices reach $150 USD a barrel

Sudanese Civil War ends

Syria becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Bangladesh becomes a member of BRICS

Iran undergoes a regime change

Iraq becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

A vessel larger than 50,000 deadweight tons is damaged or sunk by a naval mine in the Strait of Hormuz

Lebanon becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Iran loses territory

United Kingdom formally states intention to begin process to reverse "Brexit"

Libya becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

A nation officially announces AGI has been achieved

China formally declares war on another country

Benjamin Netanyahu remains Prime Minister of Israel

160 UN Nations simultaneously officially regonize Palestine's statehood.

Azerbaijani troops enter Iran

Venezuela becomes a member of BRICS

A country declares war on United States

China becomes militarily involved in Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash

Benjamin Netanyahu is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Any hostile military forces are deployed on Israeli soil

A peace treaty ending the Ethiopia–Tigray conflict is signed and remains unbroken for 90 days

USA leaves NATO

Any country leaves NATO

Israel loses territory

United Nations Security Council adopts (i.e., passes without veto) a formal resolution that explicitly condemns Israel’s use of lethal force against civilians seeking humanitarian aid in Gaza or demands Israel cease such force

Iranian troops enter Israel

India's Prime Minister Modi steps down or announces a successor

A leader of a country is tried and executed by a UN recognized state.

Burj Khalifa destroyed via hostile action

A country announces magnetic-fusion net-positive energy

United States formally declares war on another country

The Government of Denmark publicly acknowledges receipt of a formal written offer from Donald J. Trump or his officially empowered representatives to transfer sovereignty over Greenland to the United States

Palestine is granted full United Nations Membership

Bashar Al-Assad is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

World Health Organization (WHO) declares a Chikungunya virus pandemic

United States Military personnel deaths greater than or equal to 15 in Israel borders during 2026

The Arctic Council is formally suspended or dissolved by unanimous vote

Any current G-20 member state ceases to be listed as a United Nations Member State

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in Canada

Argentina becomes a member of BRICS

United States formally declares war on Iran

Jordan becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in United Kingdom

Saudi Arabia signs a written, mutual-defence pact with China or Russia

At least one nuclear explosive device is detonated with the intent to harm a state’s armed forces or civilian population

Iran becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Donald Trump is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Iran ceases to exist as a sovereign nation

Qatar becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Major News sources consistently identify a conflict as WWIII

China invades Taiwan

Ukraine ceases to exist as a sovereign state

Israel conducts military operation in Cyprus

Kim Jong Un is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Any United States of America state formally states intent to begin process to secede

Whole of Greenland becomes USA territory

Ukraine becomes a formal NATO member

Two states engage in a nuclear exchange (both attempt to deliver a nuclear device within the borders of the other)

Israel annexes 100% of Gaza

Armenia undergoes a regime change as the result of a military coup

Extraterrestrials making contact with earth is widely acknowledged

Any Canadian territory becomes part of US territory

Israel annexes any portion of Iran

Alberta begins process of becoming a USA state

Any US territory comes under Canadian administration

Israel ceases to exist as a sovereign nation

Humans will extinct

Yahya Sinwar is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Izz al-Din al-Haddad remains leader of Hamas

100

Which teams will qualify for the 2030 FIFA World Cup?

Jul 28, 5:23 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

4836860

OptionProbability

France

England

Brazil

Germany

Japan

Netherlands

Sweden

Belgium

USA

Croatia

Mexico

Italy

Australia

Colombia

Norway

South Africa

Korea Republic

Switzerland

Iran

Chile

Saudi Arabia

Ghana

Egypt

Turkiye

Senegal

Canada

Cote d'Ivoire

Ecuador

Algeria

Qatar

Scotland

Panama

Costa Rica

New Zealand

Nigeria

Tunisia

Cameroon

Venezuela

Denmark

Ukraine

Poland

Serbia

Congo DR

Greece

Czechia

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Iraq

Jamaica

Dominican Republic

Hungary

Austria

Curacao

Slovakia

Slovenia

Jordan

Republic of Ireland

Uzbekistan

Honduras

Georgia

Wales

Peru

Bolivia

Russia

Congo

Cabo Verde

Albania

Kosovo

Guinea

Syria

Bulgaria

Belarus

El Salvador

Vanuatu

Puerto Rico

Cuba

Thailand

Iceland

China

DPR Korea

Afghanistan

Sudan

Rwanda

India

Liberia

Bahamas

Haiti

Finland

Libya

Estonia

Singapore

Romania

South Sudan

Chinese Taipei

Myanmar

Nepal

North Macedonia

Northern Ireland

Oman

Israel

Montenegro

Gabon

Uganda

Bahrain

Guatemala

Vietnam

Tajikistan

United Arab Emirates

Luxembourg

Equatorial Guinea

Kyrgyz Republic

Comoros

Kenya

Kazakhstan

Mauritania

Niger

The Gambia

Indonesia

Namibia

Sierra Leone

Suriname

Azerbaijan

Malawi

Zimbabwe

Nicaragua

Guinea-Bissau

Philippines

Malaysia

Latvia

Central African Republic

Burundi

Lesotho

Guyana

Eswatini

St. Lucia

Cambodia

Barbados

Bangladesh

Dominica

Sao Tome and Principe

Djibouti

Pakistan

Burkina Faso

Armenia

Moldova

Malta

Andorra

Maldives

Chad

Eritrea

Cook Islands

Sri Lanka

Bhutan

Brunei

Somalia

Guam

Solomon Islands

Mali

Angola

Zambia

Benin

Mozambique

Fiji

Papua New Guinea

Tanzania

Lebanon

Togo

Turkmenistan

Ethiopia

Yemen

Botswana

Lithuania

St. Kitts and Nevis

Hong Kong

Antigua and Barbuda

Mauritius

Belize

Mongolia

Cayman Islands

Seychelles

Cyprus

Macau

Kuwait

Trinidad and Tobago

Madagascar

Liechtenstein

Palestine

Grenada

San Marino

New Caledonia

Faroe Islands

Tahiti

Bermuda

St. Vincent / Grenadines

Montserrat

Laos

Samoa

Aruba

American Samoa

Tonga

Timor-Leste

Which countries will legalize homosexual behavior by 2030( can Add countries)

Jun 25, 6:23 PMDec 3, 4:59 AM

3717901

OptionProbability

Saint Lucia

Niue

Sri lanka

Jamaica

Grenada

Trinidad and tobago

Guyana

Lebanon

Eswatini

Papua New Guinea

Tuvalu

Tonga

Samoa

Kiribati

Solomon islands

Saint vincent and the grenadines

Sahrawi Arab Democratic republic

Somaliland

Indonesia

Liberia

Russia

Bangladesh

Somalia

Algeria

Sierra leone

Brunei

Maldives

Morocco

Turkmenistan

Uzbekistan

Malaysia

UAE

Qatar

Oman

Zambia

Malawi

Chad

Senegal

Tunisia

Zimbabwe

Pakistan

Yemen

Kuwait

Kenya

Eritrea

Egypt

Myanmar

Saudi Arabia

Iraq

Comoros

South sudan

Ethiopia

Burundi

Cameroon

Togo

Gambia

Ghana

Tanzania

Nigeria

Guinea

Libya

Iran

Uganda

Mauritania

Sudan

Syria

Afghanistan

Mali

Which countries will the USA bomb through 2028?

Feb 13, 5:03 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

564971

OptionProbability

Iran

Iraq

Syria

Yemen

Venezuela

Nigeria

Greenland

Afghanistan

Libya

Mexico

Pakistan

Cuba

Russia

China

Jordan

Egypt

Israel

North Korea

100

Which fully recognized United Nations member country will be the first one to stop existing?

May 9, 7:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

904825

OptionProbability

Haiti

Other

North Korea

Kiribati

Eritrea

Tuvalu

Israel

Libya

Syria

South Sudan

Russia

Ukraine

Belarus

Republic of Moldova

Yemen

Somalia

Myanmar

Kenya

Rwanda

Burundi

Tanzania

Uganda

Northern Ireland

Serbia

China

South Korea

South Africa

Nepal

Kuwait

(duplicate, resolves NO)

Georgia

Armenia

The Maldives

DR Congo

Which country will the U.S. declare war on next?

Oct 3, 8:29 AMAug 1, 4:59 AM

292360

OptionProbability

Other

Iran

The People's Republic of China

Lebanon

Afghanistan (Taliban)

Libya (any of their competing governments)

Kekistan

Israel

Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool]

Oct 30, 7:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

231322

OptionProbability

Bolivia

Bahrain

Indonesia

Saudi Arabia

Belize

Syria

Comoros

Lebanon

Oman

Bangladesh

South Africa

Venezuela

Iran

Qatar

Mauritania

Somalia

Maldives

Tunisia

Djibouti

Mali

Niger

Malaysia

Algeria

Libya

Pakistan

Yemen

Kuwait

Brunei

Cuba

Colombia

Afghanistan

Iraq

North Korea

100

Will Libya officially split into two or more countries by the end of 2030?

Sep 5, 12:19 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

6.46%chance

7446

OptionVotes

YES

474

135

What will be the next country to join the Commonwealth of Nations?

Feb 20, 1:26 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

10442

OptionProbability

Commonwealth dissolves / ceases to exist

Other

Cambodia

Scotland

Kuwait

Benin

Ireland

USA

Suriname

Zimbabwe

Somaliland

South Sudan

Burundi

Bahrain

Egypt

Libya

Nepal

Sudan

Yemen

Oman

Scenario #1: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Chad in 2026?

Mar 5, 1:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

459

OptionProbability

Other

Libya

Central African Republic

Niger

Cameroon

Nigeria

Which of these countries will ratify the Paris Agreement before 2030?

Jan 3, 9:17 AMJan 5, 11:59 PM

226

OptionProbability

Libya

Yemen

Iran

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