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Prediction markets for Mars
OptionVotes
6538
297
Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
50.3%chance
472128590
OptionVotes
11108
10626
OptionVotes
4740
1023
Will there be a functional Tesla bot in Mars by 2034?
Jan 23, 12:10 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
27.53%chance
7874360
OptionVotes
1056
943
OptionVotes
16793
9923
Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
1.65%chance
10539005
OptionVotes
18052
920
OptionVotes
4875
370
By 2100, will there be scientific consensus supporting the existence of past or present life on Mars?
Feb 27, 5:13 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
40.48%chance
10326610
OptionVotes
1792
1469
Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?
Mar 26, 4:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
70.99%chance
17625305
OptionVotes
11985
9054
Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM
2.17%chance
3517355
OptionVotes
7670
470
OptionVotes
1071
839
OptionVotes
1099
941
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