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Prediction markets for Mars
OptionVotes
6958
284
Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
50.3%chance
472128590
OptionVotes
11108
10626
OptionVotes
4735
1024
Will there be a functional Tesla bot in Mars by 2034?
Jan 23, 12:10 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
28.08%chance
7774340
OptionVotes
1036
951
OptionVotes
16793
9923
Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
1.53%chance
10437916
OptionVotes
19138
903
OptionVotes
4910
365
By 2100, will there be scientific consensus supporting the existence of past or present life on Mars?
Feb 27, 5:13 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
40.48%chance
10326610
OptionVotes
1792
1469
Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?
Mar 26, 4:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
70.9%chance
17525270
OptionVotes
11950
9069
Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM
1.96%chance
3516750
OptionVotes
8275
457
OptionVotes
1071
839
OptionVotes
999
983
Latest stories
Latest stories
