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Prediction markets for North Africa
Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?
Jan 25, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
35.03%chance
17964
OptionVotes
1092
938
OptionProbability
95
90
66
66
63
46
34
Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Nov 26, 8:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27.97%chance
5122
OptionVotes
301
187
Will a full game of "The Campaign for North Africa, The Desert War, 1940–43" ever be played?
Sep 8, 9:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
71.51%chance
260
OptionVotes
158
63
Will a middle spotted woodpecker be seen in Britain by the end of 2030?
Apr 8, 2:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM
57.68%chance
643
OptionVotes
158
143
Will a pygmy cormorant be seen in Britain by the end of 2030?
Apr 8, 2:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM
49.17%chance
26
OptionVotes
90
90