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Prediction markets for North Atlantic
What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?
Nov 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
7443529
OptionProbability
57
31
24
8
8
7
6
6
5
5
4
4
3
2
2
Will the United States officially withdraw from NATO by March 31, 2026?
Jan 18, 12:50 PMMar 31, 8:59 PM
1.61%chance
3919397
OptionVotes
7810
128
Will the North Atlantic Current collapse before 2030?
Jul 29, 11:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
13.1%chance
276357
OptionVotes
1531
878
Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?
Jan 22, 1:22 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
213780
OptionProbability
99
95
95
80
80
72
56
54
54
49
44
43
40
36
34
17
OptionVotes
1222
949
Will any other NATO member country invoke Article 4 by the end of 2030?
Sep 10, 6:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
93.66%chance
101128
OptionVotes
384
26
OptionVotes
244
41
OptionVotes
390
26
Will the North Atlantic right whale be considered functionally extinct before 2040?
Jun 12, 4:48 PMDec 12, 11:59 PM
75.49%chance
20452
OptionVotes
1041
800
Will the North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become extinct in the current century?
Apr 22, 8:38 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
86.77%chance
5364
OptionVotes
802
402
OptionProbability
335
150
Which mammal/ bird will be reintroduced/reestablished in Europe ( as a wild/freeroaming breeding population) next?
Sep 24, 1:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
3107
OptionProbability
17
16
16
16
16
16
4
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