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Prediction markets for Pacific
Will a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?
Jan 9, 10:59 AMJan 10, 4:59 AM
79.46%chance
17946
OptionVotes
1783
671
Will the Cascadia megaearthquake (magnitude 8.0 or above) in the Pacific NW happen by 2035?
Oct 21, 8:48 PMOct 29, 3:59 AM
20%chance
15635
OptionVotes
1003
798
In what decade will the Pacific Northwest become as dry as California
Oct 17, 6:02 PMOct 25, 6:59 AM
9423
OptionProbability
76
8
6
5
5
Will the Olive Ridley Turtle, aka Pacific Ridley Turtle (Lepidochelys olivacea) become extinct in the current century?
May 6, 10:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
14%chance
4151
OptionVotes
648
440
Who will win 2025 Pacific Championship Series (PCS) Split 3 LoL tournament?
Jul 29, 1:43 AMAug 18, 11:59 PM
275
OptionProbability
24
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
Which European countries will deploy naval vessels to the Pacific in 2024 and/or 2025?
Jan 17, 9:12 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
658
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
64
60
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
24
Will any of these countries enter into a pact similar to the Falepili Union with a Pacific Island country before 2030?
Nov 10, 12:10 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
146
OptionProbability
78
75
59
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
Which of these Pacific Island countries will sign 'climate refuge pacts' with Australia before 2030?
Nov 10, 11:30 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
445
OptionProbability
59
59
59
59
51
50
50
50
50
41
OptionVotes
130
68
Will at least 3 Pacific barreleye fish be successfully kept in an aquarium for > 1 year, by 2035?
Jun 10, 4:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
45%chance
431
OptionVotes
74
66
How will SANDAG prevent the LA/SD rail line from falling into the Pacific?
Jul 24, 12:13 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
00
OptionProbability
20
20
20
20
20
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