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China Parades DF-26D and New Missile Shields in Western Pacific Show
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3 months ago
Prediction markets for Pacific
Will a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?
Jan 9, 10:59 AMJan 10, 4:59 AM
78.51%chance
171006
OptionVotes
1723
686
Will the Cascadia megaearthquake (magnitude 8.0 or above) in the Pacific NW happen by 2035?
Oct 21, 8:48 PMOct 29, 3:59 AM
20%chance
15637
OptionVotes
1003
798
In what decade will the Pacific Northwest become as dry as California
Oct 17, 6:02 PMOct 25, 6:59 AM
9423
OptionProbability
76
8
6
5
5
OptionProbability
76
66
66
59
50
50
50
20
Will the Olive Ridley Turtle, aka Pacific Ridley Turtle (Lepidochelys olivacea) become extinct in the current century?
May 6, 10:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
13.77%chance
4161
OptionVotes
658
439
What progress we will see in elimination of the Great Pacific garbage patch during the next ten years?
Sep 9, 7:52 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM
6132
OptionProbability
50
48
33
22
22
22
15
11
7
Will Australia enter into any similar agreement to the Falepili Union with another Pacific Island country before 2030?
Nov 10, 11:06 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
68.93%chance
594
OptionVotes
182
129
Which European countries will deploy naval vessels to the Pacific in 2024 and/or 2025?
Jan 17, 9:12 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
658
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
64
60
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
24
Will any other country enter into a similar agreement to the Falepili Union with a Pacific Island country before 2030?
Nov 10, 11:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
74.61%chance
250
OptionVotes
140
61
Will any of these countries enter into a pact similar to the Falepili Union with a Pacific Island country before 2030?
Nov 10, 12:10 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
146
OptionProbability
78
75
59
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
Which of these Pacific Island countries will sign 'climate refuge pacts' with Australia before 2030?
Nov 10, 11:30 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
445
OptionProbability
59
59
59
59
51
50
50
50
50
41
How will SANDAG prevent the LA/SD rail line from falling into the Pacific?
Jul 24, 12:13 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
00
OptionProbability
20
20
20
20
20
Latest stories
Latest stories
- China Parades DF-26D and New Missile Shields in Western Pacific ShowAuthors53 months ago
