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Severe Thunderstorm, Flood Warnings, and State Route 8 Closure Impact Yavapai and Coconino Counties, Arizona

9 months ago

Will there be a Wikipedia page on @firstuserhere by the end of 2026? ($1k Mana subsidy)

Sep 29, 7:00 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

2.35%chance

72114465

OptionVotes

YES

15315

596

Will Amanda Askell have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

Jan 24, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

98.55%chance

2834265

OptionVotes

YES

8247

121

Will the Wikipedia page titled "Nigger" be renamed to "The N-Word" or otherwise censored before 2030?

Dec 28, 7:29 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

2.75%chance

234192

OptionVotes

YES

4668

746

How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?

Jan 7, 8:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

42.92%chance

17822

OptionProbability

YES

1097

737

What percentage uptime will the Unofficial GitHub Status Page show for the last 90 Days on May 31st, 2026?

Apr 29, 12:22 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

3482

OptionProbability

Below 90%

90 - 94.99%

95 - 97.99%

98 - 98.99%

99 - 99.49%

99.5 - 99.89%

99.9 - 99.99%

100%

Will anyone be removed from "OpenAI o1 Contributions" by 2027, if the page still exists?

Sep 13, 4:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.67%chance

6440

OptionVotes

YES

1027

974

Will Manifold’s Wikipedia page have a criticism section by end of 2030?

Jan 12, 12:07 AMJan 1, 12:06 AM

43.83%chance

6142

OptionVotes

YES

113

200+ page biography of janus/repligate by EOY2026

Feb 17, 10:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.48%chance

2110

OptionVotes

YES

210

Will Chat GPT remove or hide their 'ai can make mistakes' disclaimer from website page at the end of 2027?

Dec 5, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.5%chance

790

OptionVotes

YES

171

150+ page biography of Rona Wang by 2031

Apr 23, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

120

Will there be a Wikipedia page about Jose Luis Ricon that passes VfD (that lasts at least 4 months) by 2028?

Sep 15, 7:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.54%chance

316

OptionVotes

YES

Will a 100+page book called "Isaak Freeman and the Methods of Rationality" be written by EOY2045?

Apr 25, 2:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.5%chance

OptionVotes

YES

101

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Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Natural Disasters
Arizona
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Severe Thunderstorm, Flood Warnings, and State Route 8 Closure Impact Yavapai and Coconino Counties, Arizona
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9 months ago

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Will there be a Wikipedia page on @firstuserhere by the end of 2026? ($1k Mana subsidy)

Will Amanda Askell have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

Will the Wikipedia page titled "Nigger" be renamed to "The N-Word" or otherwise censored before 2030?

How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?

What percentage uptime will the Unofficial GitHub Status Page show for the last 90 Days on May 31st, 2026?

Will anyone be removed from "OpenAI o1 Contributions" by 2027, if the page still exists?

Will Manifold’s Wikipedia page have a criticism section by end of 2030?

200+ page biography of janus/repligate by EOY2026

Will Chat GPT remove or hide their 'ai can make mistakes' disclaimer from website page at the end of 2027?

150+ page biography of Rona Wang by 2031

Will there be a Wikipedia page about Jose Luis Ricon that passes VfD (that lasts at least 4 months) by 2028?

Will a 100+page book called "Isaak Freeman and the Methods of Rationality" be written by EOY2045?

Latest stories

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