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Severe Thunderstorm, Flood Warnings, and State Route 8 Closure Impact Yavapai and Coconino Counties, Arizona

1 year ago

Will there be a Wikipedia page on @firstuserhere by the end of 2026? ($1k Mana subsidy)

Sep 29, 7:00 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

2.35%chance

72114465

OptionVotes

YES

15315

596

Will Amanda Askell have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

Jan 24, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

98.57%chance

2834266

OptionVotes

YES

8306

120

Will the Wikipedia page titled "Nigger" be renamed to "The N-Word" or otherwise censored before 2030?

Dec 28, 7:29 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

2.75%chance

234192

OptionVotes

YES

4668

746

Will CAISI have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

Jul 2, 11:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77%chance

91676

OptionVotes

YES

1830

547

How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?

Jan 7, 8:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

46.2%chance

18872

OptionProbability

YES

1147

675

Will Illinois' AI safety bill have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

Jul 8, 6:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.27%chance

9831

OptionVotes

YES

1745

573

If the ICJ rules Israel is not committing genocide in Gaza, will this appear on Wikipedia's main page within 30 days?

Oct 26, 4:58 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

25%chance

13484

OptionVotes

YES

173

Will anyone be removed from "OpenAI o1 Contributions" by 2027, if the page still exists?

Sep 13, 4:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.67%chance

6440

OptionVotes

YES

1027

974

Will Chat GPT remove or hide their 'ai can make mistakes' disclaimer from website page at any point by the end of 2026?

Dec 5, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

7200

OptionVotes

YES

300

By 2028, given a one-page description of a task X, AI can download and fine- tune existing open source LLMs for X?

Jan 5, 11:26 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

75.02%chance

9195

OptionVotes

YES

265

By when will the Wikipedia page "Gaza genocide" be deleted or retitled?

Oct 24, 2:19 AMJan 1, 3:17 AM

11179

OptionProbability

Before 2045

Before 2040

Before 2035

Before 2030

Will Grok create automated 2-page biographies of any Twitter user by EOY2026?

Jan 30, 5:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

120

Latest stories

Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Natural Disasters
Arizona
Environment
Severe Thunderstorm, Flood Warnings, and State Route 8 Closure Impact Yavapai and Coconino Counties, Arizona
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1 year ago

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Will there be a Wikipedia page on @firstuserhere by the end of 2026? ($1k Mana subsidy)

Will Amanda Askell have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

Will the Wikipedia page titled "Nigger" be renamed to "The N-Word" or otherwise censored before 2030?

Will CAISI have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?

Will Illinois' AI safety bill have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

If the ICJ rules Israel is not committing genocide in Gaza, will this appear on Wikipedia's main page within 30 days?

Will anyone be removed from "OpenAI o1 Contributions" by 2027, if the page still exists?

Will Chat GPT remove or hide their 'ai can make mistakes' disclaimer from website page at any point by the end of 2026?

By 2028, given a one-page description of a task X, AI can download and fine- tune existing open source LLMs for X?

By when will the Wikipedia page "Gaza genocide" be deleted or retitled?

Will Grok create automated 2-page biographies of any Twitter user by EOY2026?

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