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Severe Thunderstorm, Flood Warnings, and State Route 8 Closure Impact Yavapai and Coconino Counties, Arizona

1 year ago

Will there be a Wikipedia page on @firstuserhere by the end of 2026? ($1k Mana subsidy)

Sep 29, 7:00 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

1%chance

72125334

OptionVotes

YES

26184

428

Will Amanda Askell have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

Jan 24, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

98.57%chance

2834266

OptionVotes

YES

8306

120

Will the Wikipedia page titled "Nigger" be renamed to "The N-Word" or otherwise censored before 2030?

Dec 28, 7:29 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

2.75%chance

234192

OptionVotes

YES

4668

746

Will CAISI have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

Jul 2, 11:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77%chance

91676

OptionVotes

YES

1830

547

Will Illinois' AI safety bill have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

Jul 8, 6:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.3%chance

10881

OptionVotes

YES

1795

557

How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?

Jan 7, 8:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

46.2%chance

18872

OptionProbability

YES

1147

675

Will anyone be removed from "OpenAI o1 Contributions" by 2027, if the page still exists?

Sep 13, 4:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.67%chance

6440

OptionVotes

YES

1027

974

By 2040, will there be a Wikipedia page about a China-India war that started after 2019?

Apr 9, 2:28 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

62.04%chance

8181

OptionVotes

YES

155

111

Will Chat GPT remove or hide their 'ai can make mistakes' disclaimer from website page at the end of 2027?

Dec 5, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.7%chance

12143

OptionVotes

YES

170

100+ page biography of Jose Luis Ricon by 2030

Apr 23, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.17%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

130

Will Grok create automated 2-page biographies of any Twitter user by EOY2026?

Jan 30, 5:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

120

Will a 100+page book called "Isaak Freeman and the Goblet of Fire" be written by EOY2045?

Sep 24, 7:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

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Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Natural Disasters
Arizona
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Severe Thunderstorm, Flood Warnings, and State Route 8 Closure Impact Yavapai and Coconino Counties, Arizona
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1 year ago

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Prediction markets for Page

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Will there be a Wikipedia page on @firstuserhere by the end of 2026? ($1k Mana subsidy)

Will Amanda Askell have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

Will the Wikipedia page titled "Nigger" be renamed to "The N-Word" or otherwise censored before 2030?

Will CAISI have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

Will Illinois' AI safety bill have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?

Will anyone be removed from "OpenAI o1 Contributions" by 2027, if the page still exists?

By 2040, will there be a Wikipedia page about a China-India war that started after 2019?

Will Chat GPT remove or hide their 'ai can make mistakes' disclaimer from website page at the end of 2027?

100+ page biography of Jose Luis Ricon by 2030

Will Grok create automated 2-page biographies of any Twitter user by EOY2026?

Will a 100+page book called "Isaak Freeman and the Goblet of Fire" be written by EOY2045?

Latest stories

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