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Prince William News

    Prediction markets for Prince William

    OptionProbability

    Keir Starmer

    Andy Burnham

    Nigel Farage

    Robert Jenrick

    Angela Rayner

    Bridget Phillipson

    Wes Streeting

    Kemi Badenoch

    Alistair Carns

    John Healey

    Jonathan Reynolds

    Yvette Cooper

    Johnny Mercer

    Oliver Dowden

    Mark Harper

    Victoria Prentis

    Tom Tugendhat

    Rachel Reeves

    Shabana Mahmood

    Louise Haigh

    Dan Jarvis

    Suella Braverman

    Mel Stride

    David Lammy

    Pat McFadden

    Peter Kyle

    Ian Murray

    Lisa Nandy

    Emily Thornberry

    Priti Patel

    James Cleverly

    Liz Kendall

    Steve Reed

    Hilary Benn

    Rebecca Long-Bailey

    Jeremy Hunt

    Ed Milliband

    Jess Phillips

    Ian Lavery

    Daisy Cooper

    Penny Mordaunt

    Gillian Keegan

    Jo Stevens

    Clive Lewis

    Barry Gardiner

    Angela Eagle

    David Miliband

    Michael Gove

    John McDonnell

    Stephen Kinnock

    Ed Davey

    Jacob Rees-Mogg

    Thangam Debbonaire

    Diane Abbott

    Kwasi Kwarteng

    Jude Bellingham

    JK Rowling

    David Tennant

    Dominic Cummings

    William, Prince of Wales

    Piers Morgan

    Jimmy Carter

    100

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    26

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    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    Will Prince William be crowned King by the end of 2026?

    Jun 26, 6:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    11.73%chance
    8515832

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2617

    408

    OptionProbability

    Joey Graziadei

    Sutton Stracke

    Cris Judd

    Parvati Shallow

    Anna Gasteyer

    Alana Frances Thompson (aka Honey Boo-Boo)

    Tom Sandoval

    Suze Orman

    Paris Hilton

    Ronan Farrow

    Jinx Monsoon

    Walton Goggins

    Luann de Lesseps

    Zach King

    Cole Escola

    Luke Wilson

    Marc Maron

    Adam DeVine

    Drew Barrymore

    Jools Lebron

    Elle King

    Lynne Spears

    Emma Chamberlain

    Justine Bateman

    Denise Richards

    Camille Grammar

    Scheana Shay

    Michael Rapaport

    Mike White

    Sarah Silverman

    Beanie Feldstein

    Nicole Richie

    Dita Von Teese

    Jennifer Tilly

    Jessica Gunning

    Adam Lambert

    Mira Sorvino

    Danielle Brooks

    Meg Tilly

    Jason Bateman

    Julie Chrisley

    Daniel Stern

    Drake Bell

    Dixie D'Amelio

    Jeanette McCurdy

    Andrea Martin

    Billy Bob Thornton

    Andy Cohen

    Christina Hendricks

    Bowen Yang

    Noah Cyrus

    Raven Simone

    Jean Smart

    Kelly Ripa

    Noah Schnapp

    Nikki Blonsky from the movie "Hairspray"

    Jussie Smollett

    Mel Gibson

    Jodie Foster

    Savannah Chrisley

    Mia Farrow

    Owen Wilson

    Victoria Beckham

    Nancy Mace

    ---

    Lil Nas X

    James Carville

    Prince Harry

    Sharon Stone

    Greg Kinnear

    Geena Davis

    Jeanine Pirro

    Jesse Watters

    Linda Evangelista

    Richard Gere

    Tina Fey

    James Charles

    Todd Chrisley

    Jon Lovett

    Ann Coulter

    Eric Trump

    Meghan Markle

    Charlie Sheen

    Monica Lewinsky

    Pitbull

    Hasan Piker

    Soon-Yi Previn

    Donna Brazile

    Elon Musk

    Bette Midler

    David Beckham

    Steve Carell

    Woody Harrelson

    Harry Sisson

    Lady Gaga

    Rachel Maddow

    Joe Rogan

    Sarah Palin

    Tiffany Trump

    RuPaul

    James Woods

    Ted Cruz

    Ivanka Trump

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Katy Perry

    Anthony Weiner

    Kanye West

    Hillary Clinton

    Gypsy-Rose Blanchard

    Marjorie Taylor Greene

    Roger Stone

    Roseanne Barr

    Ariana Grande

    Prince William

    Woody Allen

    George Santos

    Donald Trump

    Joe Biden

    Kevin Spacey

    JD Vance

    Catherine O'Hara

    Dolly Parton

    100

    50

    50

    50

    50

    41

    38

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    9

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    6

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    1

    0

    OptionProbability

    Ernie

    Joshua

    Chris/Strutheo

    Jensen Huang

    Sundar Pichai

    Larry Page

    Sergey Brin

    Bill Gates

    Bram Cohen

    Vitalik Buterin

    Demis Hassabis

    Lex Fridman

    Xi Jinping

    Kim Jong Un

    Jeff Dean

    Isaac King

    Geoffrey Hinton

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Ilya Sutskever

    Austin (manifold)

    Glenn Shotwell

    Emad Mostaque

    Greg Brockman

    Bruce Schneier

    AGM (chaos monkey)

    Kind Edward

    Patrick Collison

    Balaji

    Stewart Butterfeld

    Prince Harry

    Tim Sweeney

    Peter Thiel

    Garry Tan

    Jessica Livingston

    Andrew Ng

    Robin Hanson

    Trump

    Dwarkesh Patel

    Marc Andreesen

    Larry Ellison

    Grimes

    Patrick McKenzie

    Travis Kalanick

    Lionel Messi

    James (manifold)

    Biden

    Mark Zuckerberg

    JK Rowling

    Meghan Markle

    Gavin Newsom

    Prince William

    Jack Dorsey

    Martin Shkreli

    Tyler Cowen

    Oprah Winfrey

    Paul Graham

    Beff Jezos

    Tim Ferriss

    Elon Musk

    Satya Nadella

    Taylor Swift

    Sam Altman

    Joe Rogan

    Jeff Bezos

    100

    100

    100

    88

    85

    73

    69

    68

    67

    66

    65

    64

    61

    58

    58

    57

    54

    52

    49

    49

    49

    49

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    48

    48

    48

    47

    46

    46

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    45

    45

    45

    45

    45

    44

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    42

    41

    40

    40

    38

    37

    32

    31

    26

    25

    21

    20

    20

    19

    18

    17

    17

    17

    17

    16

    9

    5

    4

    4

    1

    OptionProbability

    2025 [resolves on Jan 1st]

    The death of Jimmy Carter

    The Paris Olympics closing ceremony

    The launch of GPT-5

    The release of the iPhone 16

    Both the 2024 US & UK General Elections

    Bitcoin reaches $100k

    The Enhanced Games opening ceremony

    Elon Musk has another child

    GTA 6 release

    The death of Joe Biden

    A Category 5 hurricane hits the US

    Labour wins a UK general election

    FIFA World Cup 2030 final

    The war in Ukraine comes to an end

    Weak AGI achieved, as defined by the resolution of the Metaculus market on the topic

    Peak Oil Demand

    Man’s return to the moon

    EV sales in the USA overtake ICE

    Will Smith attends the Oscars

    Bitcoin falls to $30k

    A "superintelligent oracle" achieved, as defined by the resolution of the Metaculus market on the topic

    Female US President

    AGI is achieved as judged by Manifold

    Donald Trump goes to jail

    Prince William and Kate divorce

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    99

    86

    81

    81

    80

    70

    60

    52

    45

    40

    34

    32

    29

    21

    16

    14

    6

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2513

    758

    Will Prince William become king by 2030?

    May 5, 9:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    59.44%chance
    371682

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1049

    921

    Will William, Prince of Wales ever be crowned King of the United Kingdom?

    Dec 27, 12:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    86.85%chance
    17831

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1327

    920

    Will Prince William have a fourth child before 2030?

    Mar 22, 11:00 PMDec 30, 9:59 PM
    22.35%chance
    9579

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    283

    127

    OptionProbability

    MBS

    Prince William

    54

    46

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