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Top stories

US Domestic Policy

Brown University Restores Frozen Grants in $50 Million Deal With White House

Authors

5

3 days ago

Prediction markets for Providence

Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?

May 27, 9:10 PMDec 31, 7:11 PM

32.81%chance

6762104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1027

949

Will AI be able to provide an end-to-end plan for bioweapons production by 2026 EOY?

Jan 16, 4:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.57%chance

207800

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1354

458

Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Jan 2nd 2027

Jun 25, 10:30 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

51.39%chance

456081

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1028

973

Will the NWS stop providing weather forecasts before 2027?

Feb 4, 8:45 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

22.4%chance

143906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2794

1556

Will Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?

Jun 21, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.37%chance

153230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1977

506

US provides military aid to Russia before January 20, 2029

Mar 11, 3:37 PMJan 20, 12:00 AM

28.77%chance

201283

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1574

635

Will an AI provider be sued due to the actions taken by their AI by the end of 2025?

Dec 18, 5:19 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

52.92%chance

181002

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1269

463

Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power by 2100?

May 14, 11:00 PMDec 31, 7:11 PM

57.17%chance

19714

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1129

879

Will Apple provide private user data to the UK government before the end of 2027?

Feb 22, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.55%chance

5697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

Will Apple provide the content of an iMessage message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 7:34 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

34%chance

11621

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1393

718

Trump is suing the gov’t for the Mar-a-Lago raid. Will the FBI fail or refuse to provide subpoenaed communications?

Aug 13, 12:35 AMAug 13, 3:59 AM

55.24%chance

4400

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1111

900

Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 2:50 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

56.57%chance

4317

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

876

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 30, 2025
Jul 30, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Education
Politics
Brown University Restores Frozen Grants in $50 Million Deal With White House
Authors
5
3 days ago

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