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Prediction markets for Providence
Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?
May 27, 9:10 PMDec 31, 7:11 PM
32.81%chance
6762104
OptionVotes
1027
949
Will AI be able to provide an end-to-end plan for bioweapons production by 2026 EOY?
Jan 16, 4:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
63.57%chance
207800
OptionVotes
1354
458
Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Jan 2nd 2027
Jun 25, 10:30 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM
51.39%chance
456081
OptionVotes
1028
973
Will the NWS stop providing weather forecasts before 2027?
Feb 4, 8:45 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
22.4%chance
143906
OptionVotes
2794
1556
Will Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?
Jun 21, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
20.37%chance
153230
OptionVotes
1977
506
US provides military aid to Russia before January 20, 2029
Mar 11, 3:37 PMJan 20, 12:00 AM
28.77%chance
201283
OptionVotes
1574
635
Will an AI provider be sued due to the actions taken by their AI by the end of 2025?
Dec 18, 5:19 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
52.92%chance
181002
OptionVotes
1269
463
Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power by 2100?
May 14, 11:00 PMDec 31, 7:11 PM
57.17%chance
19714
OptionVotes
1129
879
Will Apple provide private user data to the UK government before the end of 2027?
Feb 22, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
47.55%chance
5697
OptionVotes
1050
952
Will Apple provide the content of an iMessage message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
Jan 8, 7:34 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM
34%chance
11621
OptionVotes
1393
718
Trump is suing the gov’t for the Mar-a-Lago raid. Will the FBI fail or refuse to provide subpoenaed communications?
Aug 13, 12:35 AMAug 13, 3:59 AM
55.24%chance
4400
OptionVotes
1111
900
Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
Jan 8, 2:50 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM
56.57%chance
4317
OptionVotes
1141
876
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