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French Prime Minister François Bayrou Faces Vote of Confidence by September 8 Amid Opposition Criticism and Modem Support

11 months ago

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

24.52%chance

211374483

OptionVotes

YES

1756

570

Will Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?

Feb 1, 4:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

14.64%chance

336178

OptionVotes

YES

2437

418

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?

Jun 1, 6:33 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

56.35%chance

234521

OptionVotes

YES

1136

880

[Metaculus] Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

Aug 27, 3:23 AMJan 2, 12:00 PM

22.52%chance

193212

OptionVotes

YES

1855

539

If the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?

Jan 8, 12:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.29%chance

252294

OptionVotes

YES

1624

788

Will any of the 21 republics of Russia secede from the Russian Federation before 2030

Jan 18, 5:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.27%chance

321635

OptionVotes

YES

1591

847

Will Turkey and/or Northern Cyprus occupy the Republic of Cyprus before 2030?

Jan 2, 3:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.09%chance

111583

OptionVotes

YES

2303

737

Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027?

Nov 30, 12:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

74.33%chance

181556

OptionVotes

YES

1091

956

By 2063, will the Republic of China annex any territory in the mainland?

Mar 29, 2:30 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

19%chance

211509

OptionVotes

YES

1523

819

Will New Zealand become a republic by 2030?

Sep 10, 12:41 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

13.73%chance

15799

OptionVotes

YES

1455

894

Will there be a french Sixth republic by 2040?

Aug 17, 4:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

29.66%chance

24699

OptionVotes

YES

1048

844

Will New Zealand become a republic by 2100?

Aug 22, 10:06 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

31.51%chance

13429

OptionVotes

YES

1248

966

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Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
France
Politics
World
French Prime Minister François Bayrou Faces Vote of Confidence by September 8 Amid Opposition Criticism and Modem Support
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11 months ago

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Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Will Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?

[Metaculus] Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

If the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?

Will any of the 21 republics of Russia secede from the Russian Federation before 2030

Will Turkey and/or Northern Cyprus occupy the Republic of Cyprus before 2030?

Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027?

By 2063, will the Republic of China annex any territory in the mainland?

Will New Zealand become a republic by 2030?

Will there be a french Sixth republic by 2040?

Will New Zealand become a republic by 2100?

Latest stories

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