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Prediction markets for Republic
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
56.47%chance
161342158
OptionVotes
1140
878
Will Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?
Feb 1, 4:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
32.5%chance
285094
OptionVotes
1455
701
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
Jun 1, 6:33 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
53.48%chance
203771
OptionVotes
1072
933
[Metaculus] Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?
Aug 27, 3:23 AMJan 2, 12:00 PM
15%chance
122930
OptionVotes
2380
420
If the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?
Jan 8, 12:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.13%chance
181543
OptionVotes
1341
866
By 2063, will the Republic of China annex any territory in the mainland?
Mar 29, 2:30 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
19%chance
211509
OptionVotes
1523
819
Will any of the 21 republics of Russia secede from the Russian Federation before 2030
Jan 18, 5:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.1%chance
301379
OptionVotes
1335
891
Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027?
Nov 30, 12:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
69.79%chance
161306
OptionVotes
1019
928
Will Turkey and/or Northern Cyprus occupy the Republic of Cyprus before 2030?
Jan 2, 3:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.5%chance
91061
OptionVotes
1803
803
OptionVotes
1455
894
OptionVotes
1048
844
OptionVotes
1248
966