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Prediction markets for Republic
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
24.52%chance
211374483
OptionVotes
1756
570
Will Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?
Feb 1, 4:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
14.64%chance
336178
OptionVotes
2437
418
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
Jun 1, 6:33 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
56.35%chance
234521
OptionVotes
1136
880
[Metaculus] Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?
Aug 27, 3:23 AMJan 2, 12:00 PM
22.52%chance
193212
OptionVotes
1855
539
If the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?
Jan 8, 12:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.29%chance
252294
OptionVotes
1624
788
Will any of the 21 republics of Russia secede from the Russian Federation before 2030
Jan 18, 5:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.27%chance
321635
OptionVotes
1591
847
Will Turkey and/or Northern Cyprus occupy the Republic of Cyprus before 2030?
Jan 2, 3:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.09%chance
111583
OptionVotes
2303
737
Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027?
Nov 30, 12:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
74.33%chance
181556
OptionVotes
1091
956
By 2063, will the Republic of China annex any territory in the mainland?
Mar 29, 2:30 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
19%chance
211509
OptionVotes
1523
819
OptionVotes
1455
894
OptionVotes
1048
844
OptionVotes
1248
966