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Prediction markets for Samoa
Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
Mar 25, 1:59 PMAug 8, 1:30 PM
11226546
OptionProbability
66
36
32
27
25
20
18
16
15
12
12
11
11
10
10
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries?
Mar 25, 2:30 PMAug 8, 1:30 PM
11913284
OptionProbability
72
48
33
28
26
15
14
13
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
9
8
7
6
6
4
3
Which countries will legalize homosexual behavior by 2030( can Add countries)
Jun 25, 6:23 PMDec 3, 4:59 AM
292307
OptionProbability
73
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
45
45
35
35
27
21
9
What will be the next state to join the United States of America?
Apr 3, 9:35 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM
261775
OptionProbability
45
44
6
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
99
99
92
79
62
59
46
45
44
44
40
36
34
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be Chinese strikes on American soil?
Dec 18, 2:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
11386
OptionProbability
84
74
55
20
Will the winner of the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination contest in American Samoa win any other contest?
Mar 7, 5:55 AMApr 1, 4:59 AM
53.55%chance
8278
OptionVotes
1273
953
OptionProbability
22
14
9
9
7
7
Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Nov 26, 8:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27.97%chance
5122
OptionVotes
301
187
Which of these Pacific Island countries will sign 'climate refuge pacts' with Australia before 2030?
Nov 10, 11:30 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
445
OptionProbability
59
59
59
59
51
50
50
50
50
41