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San Marino News

    Prediction markets for San Marino

    Which team will win the 2030 FIFA World Cup?

    Jul 25, 10:29 AMSep 30, 11:34 PM
    52238895

    OptionProbability

    Spain

    France

    Portugal

    Argentina

    England

    Brazil

    Germany

    Egypt

    Ecuador

    Italy

    Netherlands

    Colombia

    Uruguay

    Belgium

    Japan

    Norway

    Denmark

    Morocco

    Croatia

    Switzerland

    USA

    Senegal

    Austria

    Algeria

    Greece

    Republic of Ireland

    Mexico

    Nigeria

    Turkiye

    Australia

    Canada

    Sweden

    Wales

    Hungary

    Peru

    Finland

    Iran

    Cote d'Ivoire

    Ukraine

    Paraguay

    Russia

    Poland

    Serbia

    Congo DR

    Scotland

    Cameroon

    Panama

    Slovakia

    Venezuela

    Czechia

    Chile

    Costa Rica

    Romania

    Mali

    South Africa

    Slovenia

    Saudi Arabia

    Qatar

    Uzbekistan

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    Burkina Faso

    Iraq

    Cabo Verde

    Ghana

    Honduras

    Albania

    United Arab Emirates

    North Macedonia

    Northern Ireland

    Jamaica

    Georgia

    Jordan

    Iceland

    Israel

    Bolivia

    Kosovo

    Oman

    Montenegro

    Guinea

    Curacao

    Syria

    Gabon

    Bulgaria

    New Zealand

    Angola

    Haiti

    Uganda

    China PR

    Bahrain

    Benin

    Thailand

    Palestine

    Belarus

    Guatemala

    Luxembourg

    Vietnam

    El Salvador

    Tajikistan

    Trinidad and Tobago

    Mozambique

    Korea Republic

    DPR Korea

    Zambia

    Madagascar

    Armenia

    Kenya

    Tanzania

    Niger

    Indonesia

    Namibia

    Cyprus

    Faroe Islands

    Estonia

    Nicaragua

    Philippines

    Malaysia

    India

    Liberia

    Turkmenistan

    Dominican Republic

    Singapore

    Lithuania

    Hong Kong

    Afghanistan

    Chinese Taipei

    Bangladesh

    Mongolia

    Pakistan

    Liechtenstein

    Laos

    Chad

    Barbados

    Nepal

    Cambodia

    Andorra

    Cuba

    Moldova

    Ethiopia

    Latvia

    Kuwait

    Zimbabwe

    Rwanda

    Azerbaijan

    Suriname

    Sierra Leone

    Togo

    The Gambia

    Lebanon

    Libya

    Comoros

    Kyrgyz Republic

    Equatorial Guinea

    Kazakhstan

    Mauritania

    Sudan

    Malawi

    Guinea-Bissau

    Central African Republic

    Burundi

    Yemen

    Lesotho

    Botswana

    Guyana

    New Caledonia

    Solomon Islands

    Fiji

    Tahiti

    Myanmar

    Vanuatu

    Malta

    Grenada

    Eswatini

    Bermuda

    Papua New Guinea

    South Sudan

    Belize

    Aruba

    Bhutan

    Macau

    Brunei

    Djibouti

    Somalia

    Tonga

    Guam

    Timor-Leste

    Gibraltar

    Seychelles

    Bahamas

    San Marino

    Anguilla

    Cayman Islands

    Sao Tome and Principe

    Sri Lanka

    Dominica

    Montserrat

    Maldives

    St. Lucia

    Antigua and Barbuda

    Puerto Rico

    St. Kitts and Nevis

    19

    19

    10

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    6

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Which team will win EURO 2028?

    Jun 25, 2:50 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM
    2042582

    OptionProbability

    Spain

    France

    England

    Portugal

    Germany

    Netherlands

    Norway

    Italy

    Belgium

    Switzerland

    Croatia

    Türkiye

    Albania

    Armenia

    Denmark

    Austria

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    Bulgaria

    Czechia

    Georgia

    Israel

    Northern Ireland

    Poland

    Republic of Ireland

    Scotland

    Sweden

    Ukraine

    Wales

    Andorra

    Azerbaijan

    Belarus

    Cyprus

    Estonia

    Faroe Islands

    Finland

    Gibraltar

    Greece

    Hungary

    Iceland

    Kazakhstan

    Kosovo

    Latvia

    Liechtenstein

    Lithuania

    Luxembourg

    Malta

    Moldova

    Montenegro

    North Macedonia

    Romania

    Russia

    San Marino

    Serbia

    Slovakia

    Slovenia

    22

    18

    14

    10

    9

    6

    5

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Which teams will qualify for the 2030 FIFA World Cup?

    Jul 28, 5:23 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
    4836860

    OptionProbability

    France

    England

    Brazil

    Germany

    Japan

    Netherlands

    Sweden

    Belgium

    USA

    Croatia

    Mexico

    Italy

    Australia

    Colombia

    Norway

    South Africa

    Korea Republic

    Switzerland

    Iran

    Chile

    Saudi Arabia

    Ghana

    Egypt

    Turkiye

    Senegal

    Canada

    Cote d'Ivoire

    Ecuador

    Algeria

    Qatar

    Scotland

    Panama

    Costa Rica

    New Zealand

    Nigeria

    Tunisia

    Cameroon

    Venezuela

    Denmark

    Ukraine

    Poland

    Serbia

    Congo DR

    Greece

    Czechia

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    Iraq

    Jamaica

    Dominican Republic

    Hungary

    Austria

    Curacao

    Slovakia

    Slovenia

    Jordan

    Republic of Ireland

    Uzbekistan

    Honduras

    Georgia

    Wales

    Peru

    Bolivia

    Russia

    Congo

    Cabo Verde

    Albania

    Kosovo

    Guinea

    Syria

    Bulgaria

    Belarus

    El Salvador

    Vanuatu

    Puerto Rico

    Cuba

    Thailand

    Iceland

    China

    DPR Korea

    Afghanistan

    Sudan

    Rwanda

    India

    Liberia

    Bahamas

    Haiti

    Finland

    Libya

    Estonia

    Singapore

    Romania

    South Sudan

    Chinese Taipei

    Myanmar

    Nepal

    North Macedonia

    Northern Ireland

    Oman

    Israel

    Montenegro

    Gabon

    Uganda

    Bahrain

    Guatemala

    Vietnam

    Tajikistan

    United Arab Emirates

    Luxembourg

    Equatorial Guinea

    Kyrgyz Republic

    Comoros

    Kenya

    Kazakhstan

    Mauritania

    Niger

    The Gambia

    Indonesia

    Namibia

    Sierra Leone

    Suriname

    Azerbaijan

    Malawi

    Zimbabwe

    Nicaragua

    Guinea-Bissau

    Philippines

    Malaysia

    Latvia

    Central African Republic

    Burundi

    Lesotho

    Guyana

    Eswatini

    St. Lucia

    Cambodia

    Barbados

    Bangladesh

    Dominica

    Sao Tome and Principe

    Djibouti

    Pakistan

    Burkina Faso

    Armenia

    Moldova

    Malta

    Andorra

    Maldives

    Chad

    Eritrea

    Cook Islands

    Sri Lanka

    Bhutan

    Brunei

    Somalia

    Guam

    Solomon Islands

    Mali

    Angola

    Zambia

    Benin

    Mozambique

    Fiji

    Papua New Guinea

    Tanzania

    Lebanon

    Togo

    Turkmenistan

    Ethiopia

    Yemen

    Botswana

    Lithuania

    St. Kitts and Nevis

    Hong Kong

    Antigua and Barbuda

    Mauritius

    Belize

    Mongolia

    Cayman Islands

    Seychelles

    Cyprus

    Macau

    Kuwait

    Trinidad and Tobago

    Madagascar

    Liechtenstein

    Palestine

    Grenada

    San Marino

    New Caledonia

    Faroe Islands

    Tahiti

    Bermuda

    St. Vincent / Grenadines

    Montserrat

    Laos

    Samoa

    Aruba

    American Samoa

    Tonga

    Timor-Leste

    97

    96

    96

    96

    95

    94

    91

    90

    90

    89

    87

    86

    86

    85

    85

    85

    84

    83

    82

    80

    80

    80

    78

    76

    75

    72

    71

    70

    66

    66

    60

    60

    60

    59

    58

    55

    54

    53

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    47

    46

    46

    45

    45

    45

    44

    42

    42

    39

    38

    38

    38

    37

    36

    35

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    33

    32

    31

    30

    30

    30

    30

    28

    28

    28

    28

    27

    25

    24

    23

    23

    23

    22

    22

    22

    21

    21

    20

    20

    20

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    14

    13

    13

    13

    13

    13

    13

    13

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    11

    11

    9

    8

    8

    7

    5

    5

    4

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    UEFA Euro 2028: Which countries will qualify?

    Jul 13, 3:51 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
    916103

    OptionProbability

    England

    Spain

    France

    Portugal

    Germany

    Netherlands

    Belgium

    Norway

    Switzerland

    Italy

    Denmark

    Turkey

    Croatia

    Republic of Ireland

    Austria

    Scotland

    Greece

    Ukraine

    Sweden

    Wales

    Poland

    Hungary

    Serbia

    Czech Republic

    Georgia

    Slovenia

    Kosovo

    Romania

    Slovakia

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    Northern Ireland

    Albania

    Israel

    Iceland

    North Macedonia

    Finland

    Bulgaria

    Belarus

    Montenegro

    Cyprus

    Luxembourg

    Kazakhstan

    Armenia

    Estonia

    Azerbaijan

    Lithuania

    Latvia

    Moldova

    Malta

    Andorra

    Faroe Islands

    San Marino

    Liechtenstein

    Gibraltar

    98

    96

    95

    93

    91

    89

    88

    88

    86

    85

    82

    82

    81

    80

    78

    78

    75

    72

    72

    72

    71

    67

    64

    61

    56

    54

    53

    52

    52

    47

    44

    43

    33

    31

    24

    20

    16

    14

    13

    13

    12

    12

    10

    9

    9

    8

    7

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    3

    ⌛What will happen in my lifetime?

    Feb 28, 10:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    779858

    OptionProbability

    I attend a Manifest

    MSTR breaks $1069

    Hollow Knight: Silksong releases

    Trump dies

    bitcoin reaches $100K usd

    Bitcoin Reaches $150K USD

    I live to 50 years old

    First female USA president

    Iceland OR Norway OR Japan ban whaling

    Manifold reaches 10,000 engaged users

    Azerbaijan invades Armenia

    Manifold Outlives me

    Team Fortress 3 releases

    Bitcoin reaches $200K usd

    Quantum computers consumer available

    Human walks on mars

    You get married

    I visit Japan

    Ukraine joins NATO

    China and Taiwan invasion/conflict happens

    Sesame Street ends

    New Zealand becomes a republic

    I have a child (biological or adopted)

    I release a second Steam game after Heartseeker

    Pokemon releases 2000 or more creatures

    The first dog walks off planet (mars, moon, etc)

    Wide consumer adoption of Neuralink or other brain implants

    Trump serves a day in jail

    @strutheo wins Masters League

    Immortality (a way to completely halt aging) is invented

    Someone has died on the moon

    A portion of what is now China (according to US) becomes an independent state

    Nuclear fusion commercially producing energy at scale

    LK-99 or another room temperature superconductor

    Any of the United States, United Kingdom, France, or Germany becomes a hybrid regime according to the Economist Democracy Index

    pickleball in the olympics

    i get a neuralink or other brain chip

    Iceland Norway and Japan all ban whaling

    Venezuela invades Guyana

    Liechtenstein no longer an independant country

    I spend 1 night in jail / prison / detainment

    San Marino no longer an independant country

    i walk on the moon

    I see the first baby born off planet

    All four of the United States, United Kingdom, France, and Germany become hybrid regimes according to the Economist Democracy Index

    100

    100

    100

    97

    97

    96

    91

    89

    86

    77

    77

    76

    76

    75

    75

    73

    72

    69

    69

    66

    66

    66

    65

    59

    57

    57

    50

    48

    48

    47

    45

    44

    43

    39

    35

    32

    29

    23

    22

    17

    16

    13

    10

    10

    5

    Next country to join the European Union:

    Dec 6, 1:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    281342

    OptionProbability

    Montenegro

    Moldova

    Other

    North Macedonia

    Albania

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    Greenland

    Iceland

    San Marino

    Ukraine

    United Kingdom

    Georgia

    Turkey

    Scotland

    Serbia

    Kosovo

    44

    34

    9

    4

    3

    2

    2

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    What countries will join the Schengen area before 2030

    Apr 2, 2:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    121263

    OptionProbability

    Romania

    Bulgaria

    Iceland

    Andorra

    San Marino

    Cyprus

    Gibraltar

    Albania

    Ireland

    Montenegro

    Ukraine

    UK

    99

    99

    99

    50

    50

    47

    41

    41

    38

    34

    27

    10

    Will San Marino win Eurovision before Poland?

    May 19, 12:35 PMMay 19, 12:34 PM
    23.79%chance
    581

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    179

    56

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