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Prediction markets for Saxony
Which German states will have Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW in their parliaments after their next elections?
Oct 23, 6:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
4110755
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
28
8
6
5
5
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
77
20
4
Will the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?
Sep 6, 8:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
79.85%chance
122918
OptionVotes
1991
502
Saxony-Anhalt 2026: How many more votes will Ulrich Siegmund get for State Prime Minister, relative to AfD's seats?
Jun 18, 12:57 PMJun 18, 9:59 PM
131834
OptionProbability
32
22
9
8
8
8
7
5
OptionProbability
41
19
14
14
5
4
3
OptionProbability
38
23
20
14
4
Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?
Feb 9, 3:14 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
38.89%chance
21491
OptionVotes
125
80
If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority?
Sep 8, 3:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
44.28%chance
6344
OptionVotes
1122
892
Will Ulrich Siegmund become the Prime Minister of Saxony-Anhalt by the end of the year (2026)?
Sep 11, 7:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
71.76%chance
10278
OptionVotes
159
63
In which state will Germany decide to build a radioactive waste repository before 2069?
May 17, 6:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
10253
OptionProbability
40
29
8
4
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?
Sep 7, 2:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
46.86%chance
378
OptionVotes
1065
939
What will happen to Germany if AfD controlled Chancellorship before 2031?
Oct 6, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM
110
OptionProbability
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
34