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Prediction markets for Solar System
will human ever live outside the solar system before the 22nd century?
Nov 7, 12:59 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM
32.8%chance
2820756
OptionVotes
6324
5475
Does extraterrestrial life at least as complex as a fly exist anywhere in the solar system?
Dec 9, 2:09 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM
5.47%chance
514032
OptionVotes
2069
857
OptionVotes
971
945
OptionProbability
74
25
1
0
0
0
0
0
Will a new planet be discovered in our solar system by 2035?
Jan 10, 11:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15.59%chance
302337
OptionVotes
1007
758
If abiogenetically distinct alien life is discovered in the solar system before 2070, where will it be first discovered?
Dec 30, 8:52 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
171163
OptionProbability
31
20
14
9
7
4
4
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075?
Apr 17, 2:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
74.61%chance
221081
OptionVotes
1290
864
By the end of 2040, will there be strong evidence of life (of non-terrestrial origin) in our solar system?
Feb 5, 1:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33%chance
19854
OptionVotes
1100
633
Will we discover a black hole in our solar system before 2030?
Oct 27, 12:20 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM
5.07%chance
22780
OptionVotes
1056
964
Will alien technological artefacts be discovered in the Solar System through 2050?
Sep 9, 7:28 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
10.96%chance
17504
OptionVotes
220
101
Is there extraterrestrial life within 10 light years from the solar system?
Feb 11, 3:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
20.71%chance
10359
OptionVotes
237
92
Will humans visit the Outer Solar System before Halley's Comet returns?
Jan 28, 5:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
62.47%chance
7225
OptionVotes
202
85
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