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Prediction markets for Solar System
will human ever live outside the solar system before the 22nd century?
Nov 7, 12:59 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM
32.8%chance
2820756
OptionVotes
6324
5475
At the start of 2026, will the number of planets in the Solar System, as per the IAU, be exactly 8?
Nov 23, 2:36 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM
98.41%chance
186054
OptionVotes
6280
767
Does extraterrestrial life at least as complex as a fly exist anywhere in the solar system?
Dec 9, 2:09 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM
5.47%chance
514032
OptionVotes
2069
857
OptionVotes
971
945
Will a new planet be discovered in our solar system by 2035?
Jan 10, 11:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
16.53%chance
282286
OptionVotes
1015
712
Will a man made object sent into space after market creation leave the solar system before 2030?
Jun 17, 11:27 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
3.16%chance
161155
OptionVotes
1612
940
Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075?
Apr 17, 2:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
74.61%chance
221081
OptionVotes
1290
864
By the end of 2040, will there be strong evidence of life (of non-terrestrial origin) in our solar system?
Feb 5, 1:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.32%chance
19829
OptionVotes
1092
648
Will we discover a black hole in our solar system before 2030?
Oct 27, 12:20 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM
4.98%chance
21779
OptionVotes
1075
963
Will alien technological artefacts be discovered in the Solar System through 2050?
Sep 9, 7:28 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
10.96%chance
17504
OptionVotes
220
101
Is there extraterrestrial life within 10 light years from the solar system?
Feb 11, 3:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
20.71%chance
10359
OptionVotes
237
92
Will humans visit the Outer Solar System before Halley's Comet returns?
Jan 28, 5:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
62.47%chance
7225
OptionVotes
202
85
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