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Top stories

Sudan’s RSF Seizes El-Uweinat Triangle Border Area With Libya and Egypt, Announces Parallel Government in Nyala

Sudan’s RSF Seizes El-Uweinat Triangle Border Area With Libya and Egypt, Announces Parallel Government in Nyala

Authors

18

1 month ago

Zul-Qarnain Kwame Nantambu Arrested by Louisiana Police for 'Sudan and Free Gaza' Flag Protest at February 2025 Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show

Zul-Qarnain Kwame Nantambu Arrested by Louisiana Police for 'Sudan and Free Gaza' Flag Protest at February 2025 Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show

Authors

38

1 month ago

African Union Rejects Parallel Government in Sudan as PM Kamel Idris Calls to Lift Suspension After Civilian Government Formation

African Union Rejects Parallel Government in Sudan as PM Kamel Idris Calls to Lift Suspension After Civilian Government Formation

Authors

3

3 days ago

Prediction markets for Sudan

Who will win the civil war in Sudan?

Aug 26, 12:14 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

251104

OptionProbability

Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF)

Neither

Rapid Support Forces (RSF)

51

25

24

Does "Tong Tong, South Sudan" actually exist?

Jun 4, 11:24 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.25%chance

16355

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1053

914

Will the U.S. send troops to Sudan by 2026?

Nov 27, 3:14 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

15.33%chance

3135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

235

43

Will the purposely unclaimed Bir Tawil territory between Egypt and Sudan be claimed by at least one country by EOY 2040?

Dec 5, 2:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.72%chance

1047

OptionVotes

NO

YES

187

156

Scenario #2: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Ethiopia in 2026?

Mar 11, 11:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

130

OptionProbability

Other

South Sudan

Eritrea

Djibouti

Somalia

Kenya

26

23

21

10

10

10

Will Nauru's GDP per capita (PPP) still be higher than Sudan's in 2028, according to the most recent estimate?

Jul 31, 3:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

66.22%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

89

Scenario #1: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Chad in 2026?

Mar 5, 1:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

319

OptionProbability

Other

Libya

Central African Republic

Cameroon

Nigeria

Niger

19

16

16

16

16

16

Scenario #2: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Chad in 2026?

Mar 5, 1:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

214

OptionProbability

Ethiopia

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Uganda

Kenya

Central African Republic

Other

17

17

17

17

17

13

Continuing from Scenerio #3: Which of the will the Sudan's war spillover after South Sudan in 2027?

Mar 11, 1:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

213

OptionProbability

Democratic Republic of The Congo

Uganda

Kenya

Central African Republic

Other

21

21

21

21

15

Which country will Sudan's conflict spillover in 2026? Scenario #1

May 15, 1:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

111

OptionProbability

Eritrea

Somalia

Kenya

Djibouti

27

27

27

20

Which country will Sudan's conflict spillover in 2026? Scenario #4

May 15, 1:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12

OptionProbability

Democratic Republic of Congo

Republic of Congo

Cameroon

34

33

33

As Sudan defeat against Rapid Defense Force in 2025, what will led to which scenario?

Nov 6, 6:33 PMJan 1, 4:33 AM

10

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