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Top stories

Morocco and Madagascar Reach 2024 TotalEnergies CHAN Final After Penalty Wins; Final Set for Saturday at Kasarani

Morocco and Madagascar Reach 2024 TotalEnergies CHAN Final After Penalty Wins; Final Set for Saturday at Kasarani

Authors

7

5 months ago

Somalia President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud Reaches Agreement with Former Speakers, PM; Strengthens Ties with UAE, Sudan, Pakistan Amid Regional Developments

Somalia President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud Reaches Agreement with Former Speakers, PM; Strengthens Ties with UAE, Sudan, Pakistan Amid Regional Developments

Authors

5

5 months ago

UNICEF Warns 260,000 Trapped in Sudan's Al Fasher Face Malnutrition, Disease; Calls for Aid Access

UNICEF Warns 260,000 Trapped in Sudan's Al Fasher Face Malnutrition, Disease; Calls for Aid Access

Authors

3

5 months ago

UAE Bars Sudan Cargoes, Stranding Crude Tanker Offloading Options

Authors

4

5 months ago

Sudan Reports 100,000 Cholera Cases, RSF Shells Hospital, Abducts 8, and Seizes Abu Shouk Camp Amid Crisis

Authors

8

5 months ago

Syria’s Captagon Crackdown Spurs Shift of Drug Trade to Sudan

Authors

3

6 months ago

US Foreign Policy

U.S., UN Urge Immediate Cease-Fires to Stem Sudan’s Humanitarian Crisis

Authors

4

6 months ago

WFP Aid Convoy Attacked in North Darfur’s Mellit; RSF Blames Army, WFP Cuts Venezuela Aid

Authors

5

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Sudan

Who will win the civil war in Sudan?

Aug 26, 12:14 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

302354

OptionProbability

Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF)

Neither

Rapid Support Forces (RSF)

71

20

9

Which countries will take more than 100,000 Palestinians between 2025 and end of 2026?

Feb 6, 7:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

241265

OptionProbability

Egypt

Jordan

South Sudan

Israel

Indonesia

USA

Spain

Ireland

Norway

United Kingdom

8

7

5

3

3

2

2

2

2

1

Does "Tong Tong, South Sudan" actually exist?

Jun 4, 11:24 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.25%chance

16355

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1053

914

More than 100k Palestinians resettled to south Sudan before 2028?

Aug 16, 3:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.67%chance

7143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

48

Scenario #1: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Chad in 2026?

Mar 5, 1:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

459

OptionProbability

Other

Libya

Central African Republic

Niger

Cameroon

Nigeria

21

18

18

18

12

12

Scenario #2: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Ethiopia in 2026?

Mar 11, 11:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

250

OptionProbability

Other

South Sudan

Eritrea

Djibouti

Somalia

Kenya

26

23

21

10

10

10

Will the purposely unclaimed Bir Tawil territory between Egypt and Sudan be claimed by at least one country by EOY 2040?

Dec 5, 2:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.72%chance

1047

OptionVotes

NO

YES

187

156

Continuing from Scenerio #3: Which of the will the Sudan's war spillover after South Sudan in 2027?

Mar 11, 1:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

347

OptionProbability

Democratic Republic of The Congo

Uganda

Kenya

Central African Republic

Other

21

21

21

21

15

Will Nauru's GDP per capita (PPP) still be higher than Sudan's in 2028, according to the most recent estimate?

Jul 31, 3:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

66.22%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

89

Scenario #2: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Chad in 2026?

Mar 5, 1:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

214

OptionProbability

Ethiopia

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Uganda

Kenya

Central African Republic

Other

17

17

17

17

17

13

Which country will Sudan's conflict spillover in 2026? Scenario #1

May 15, 1:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

111

OptionProbability

Eritrea

Somalia

Kenya

Djibouti

27

27

27

20

Which country will Sudan's conflict spillover in 2026? Scenario #4

May 15, 1:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12

OptionProbability

Democratic Republic of Congo

Republic of Congo

Cameroon

34

33

33

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