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Prediction markets for Sumatra
Which of these proposed crossings (bridge, tunnel or a combination) will be open by the end of 2050?
Jan 1, 11:33 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
92065
OptionProbability
73
69
69
69
69
63
63
59
59
51
50
39
31
26
25
20
20
20
20
14
12
3
Will the Sumatran Rhinoceros (Dicerorhinus sumatrensis) become extinct by 2100?
Feb 21, 8:24 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM
83.19%chance
11477
OptionVotes
726
433
Will the wild population of the Sumatran Rhinoceros (Dicerorhinus sumatrensis) become extinct by 2100?
Mar 1, 8:15 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
87.79%chance
3264
OptionVotes
676
436
Will the Sumatran Orangutan (Pongo abelii) become extinct in the current century?
Feb 21, 5:05 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
47.52%chance
14231
OptionVotes
611
368
Which European countries will deploy naval vessels to the Pacific in 2026 and/or 2027?
Jan 13, 4:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4207
OptionProbability
100
100
100
89
87
86
66
50
50
43
36
34
31
24
Will a crossing between Sumatra and Java have started construction by 2035?
Jul 4, 1:35 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
15.16%chance
8192
OptionVotes
246
88
OptionVotes
207
91
Will a crossing between Malaysia and Sumatra have started construction by 2035?
Jul 4, 1:33 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
21.54%chance
487
OptionVotes
154
59
Bridge built connecting Indonesia to Malaysia through 2040
Aug 28, 1:48 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
33.33%chance
322
OptionVotes
132
95
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