Svalbard News

France Faces One of Its Hottest Summers in 2025 with 50°C Possible, Sable d'Or Distress, and 2024 Arctic Heatwave Impact

1 year ago

Norway

War

Climate

Climate-Driven Arctic Changes Muffle NATO Sonar, Complicate Russian Sub Hunt

1 year ago

Which countries will Russia invade by the end of 2030?

Sep 9, 7:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

264128

OptionProbability

Greece

United Kingdom

Estonia

Lithuania

Latvia

Moldova

Norway (including Svalbard)

Poland

Japan

Denmark (including Greenland)

Finland

Sweden

United States

Germany

Russia annex Svalbard before EOY2027.

May 26, 5:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.69%chance

9488

OptionVotes

YES

511

Will civilizational-preservation bunkers get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 30, 6:42 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

62.04%chance

9328

OptionVotes

YES

238

182

Will Russia invade Svalbard by EOY2035?

Jan 13, 5:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.25%chance

5176

OptionVotes

YES

268

Will there be any place UK citizens are allowed to live and work indefinitely in 2030 that they are not allowed in 2025?

May 16, 7:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54.75%chance

355

OptionVotes

YES

110

Will there be any place UK citizens are NOT allowed to live and work indefinitely in 2030 that they ARE allowed in 2025?

May 24, 11:24 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

35%chance

336

OptionVotes

YES

136

Will Russia destroy global technology infrastructure including AI before 2050?

Sep 27, 6:57 AMDec 31, 7:30 AM

11%chance

OptionVotes

YES

101

Which Norwegian dependencies will Donald Trump express a aquisitive interest in before Christmas Eve 2027?

Oct 11, 4:36 AMDec 23, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Svalbard

Jan Mayen

Peter I Island

Queen Maud Land

Bouvet Island

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
France
Climate
Environment
France Faces One of Its Hottest Summers in 2025 with 50°C Possible, Sable d'Or Distress, and 2024 Arctic Heatwave Impact
Authors
7
1 year ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Norway
War
Climate
Climate-Driven Arctic Changes Muffle NATO Sonar, Complicate Russian Sub Hunt
Authors
4
1 year ago

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Which countries will Russia invade by the end of 2030?

Russia annex Svalbard before EOY2027.

Will civilizational-preservation bunkers get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will Russia invade Svalbard by EOY2035?

Will there be any place UK citizens are allowed to live and work indefinitely in 2030 that they are not allowed in 2025?

Will there be any place UK citizens are NOT allowed to live and work indefinitely in 2030 that they ARE allowed in 2025?

Will Russia destroy global technology infrastructure including AI before 2050?

Which Norwegian dependencies will Donald Trump express a aquisitive interest in before Christmas Eve 2027?

Latest stories

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