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Top stories

Daley, LaHood Lead Illinois Ballot Drive to Shift Redistricting to 12-Member Panel

Daley, LaHood Lead Illinois Ballot Drive to Shift Redistricting to 12-Member Panel

Authors

12

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Texas Republicans

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Jan 29, 12:35 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

39.4%chance

202144838

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10204

10166

Who Will Win the 2026 Republican Primary Election for US Senate in Texas?

Nov 10, 12:49 AMNov 11, 5:59 AM

5632528

OptionProbability

John Cornyn

Ken Paxton

Ronny Jackson

Eric Johnson

Chip Roy

Dan Patrick

Louie Gohmert

Allen West

Dan Crenshaw

Wesley Hunt

Other

55

44

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

84.47%chance

288564

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2332

429

Will Texas elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 14 Democratic Representatives?

Feb 1, 2:51 AMNov 3, 11:59 AM

115711

OptionProbability

Non-Dem Senator, < 14 Dem Reps

Dem Senator, < 14 Dem Reps

Dem Senator, >= 14 Dem Reps

Non-Dem Senator, >= 14 Dem Reps

53

31

8

7

Will the republican party win the 2026 texas gubernatorial election?

May 31, 4:48 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

81.07%chance

224386

OptionVotes

NO

YES

192

75

How many Republican Representatives will Texas elect in 2026?

Jul 25, 2:50 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

103911

OptionProbability

29-30

28

27

25

26

24

19-21

22

23

31-33

0-8

9-13

14-18

34-38

24

18

17

12

11

4

3

3

3

2

1

1

1

1

Will the Republican win Texas's 2026 Senate race, conditional on D/R nominees?

Dec 8, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

153455

OptionProbability

If the nominees are Cornyn and Crockett

If the nominees are Paxton and Crockett

If the nominees are Cornyn and Talarico

If the nominees are Paxton and Talarico

87

83

62

57

Who Will Win The Republican Nomination For The Texas Senate Election

Jan 15, 2:53 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

201996

OptionProbability

John Cornyn

Ken Paxton

Wesley Hunt

55

44

0

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.29%chance

11861

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1222

951

Who will controls the house of representatives after 2026 midterms

Jan 5, 3:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18663

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

Independents

89

10

1

Will the Democrats win any statewide election in Texas by the end of 2030?

Apr 2, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.48%chance

19458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

845

Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?

Feb 27, 8:35 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

49.4%chance

4350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

171

107

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
US Legislation
Politics
Daley, LaHood Lead Illinois Ballot Drive to Shift Redistricting to 12-Member Panel
Authors
12
7 months ago

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