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Top stories

Daley, LaHood Lead Illinois Ballot Drive to Shift Redistricting to 12-Member Panel

Daley, LaHood Lead Illinois Ballot Drive to Shift Redistricting to 12-Member Panel

Authors

12

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Texas Republicans

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Jan 29, 12:35 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

58.71%chance

326210587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12524

8004

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

61.53%chance

3514537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1265

791

Will Texas elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 14 Democratic Representatives?

Feb 1, 2:51 AMNov 3, 11:59 AM

158521

OptionProbability

Dem Senator, < 14 Dem Reps

Non-Dem Senator, < 14 Dem Reps

Dem Senator, >= 14 Dem Reps

Non-Dem Senator, >= 14 Dem Reps

40

38

12

9

Will the republican party win the 2026 texas gubernatorial election?

May 31, 4:48 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

83.98%chance

296870

OptionVotes

NO

YES

218

69

How many Republican Representatives will Texas elect in 2026?

Jul 25, 2:50 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

106489

OptionProbability

26

25

28

27

29-30

24

9-13

14-18

19-21

22

23

31-33

34-38

0-8

19

14

13

12

12

11

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

1

Will the Republican win Texas's 2026 Senate race, conditional on D/R nominees?

Dec 8, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

183538

OptionProbability

If the nominees are Cornyn and Crockett

If the nominees are Paxton and Crockett

If the nominees are Cornyn and Talarico

If the nominees are Paxton and Talarico

87

83

61

52

Will the Democrats win any statewide election in Texas by the end of 2030?

Apr 2, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70%chance

21933

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1219

872

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.86%chance

13931

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1182

959

Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?

Feb 27, 8:35 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

37.95%chance

12748

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143

143

Will Texas become blue

Jun 29, 11:08 PMNov 6, 6:59 AM

13.23%chance

6162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

256

39

Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?

Aug 12, 4:29 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

39.12%chance

5100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

62

Will the Republican Party win a majority of the five gerrymandered districts in Texas during the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 22, 4:53 AMNov 4, 5:59 AM

45%chance

420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

95

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
US Legislation
Politics
Daley, LaHood Lead Illinois Ballot Drive to Shift Redistricting to 12-Member Panel
Authors
12
1 year ago

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