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Top stories

Daley, LaHood Lead Illinois Ballot Drive to Shift Redistricting to 12-Member Panel

Daley, LaHood Lead Illinois Ballot Drive to Shift Redistricting to 12-Member Panel

Authors

12

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Texas Republicans

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Jan 29, 12:35 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

43%chance

238161617

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1574

1478

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

84%chance

2914019

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2291

436

Will the republican party win the 2026 texas gubernatorial election?

May 31, 4:48 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

87%chance

286253

OptionVotes

NO

YES

254

63

How many Republican Representatives will Texas elect in 2026?

Jul 25, 2:50 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

104513

OptionProbability

25

29-30

26

28

27

24

9-13

14-18

19-21

22

0-8

23

31-33

34-38

17

17

15

14

13

5

4

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

Will the Republican win Texas's 2026 Senate race, conditional on D/R nominees?

Dec 8, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

183516

OptionProbability

If the nominees are Cornyn and Crockett

If the nominees are Paxton and Crockett

If the nominees are Cornyn and Talarico

If the nominees are Paxton and Talarico

87

83

61

57

Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.

Jan 12, 9:24 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

101506

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

82

18

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17%chance

11920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

961

How many of the redrawn Texas districts will Democrats win, out of the attempted Democrat to GOP flips?

Oct 25, 12:46 AMNov 10, 11:59 PM

10726

OptionProbability

2

3

4

0

1

5

29

29

16

11

8

6

Will the Democrats win any statewide election in Texas by the end of 2030?

Apr 2, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.48%chance

20558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

845

Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?

Feb 27, 8:35 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

47.2%chance

9554

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

113

Will any furry convention be cancelled or moved for political reasons by the end of 2026?

Mar 15, 6:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.08%chance

10212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

66

Will Trump/Vance give Ken Paxton a position/title in the federal govt?

Mar 4, 8:03 PMJan 20, 12:00 PM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
US Legislation
Politics
Daley, LaHood Lead Illinois Ballot Drive to Shift Redistricting to 12-Member Panel
Authors
12
10 months ago

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