OptionProbability
Kim Bowes
Henry Oliver
Magnus Carlsen
Dean Ball
Francis Fukuyama
Rebecca Lowe
Emily Wilson
Patrick Collison (again)
C Thi Nguyen
Tom Holland (the historian)
Jamie Dimon
Caroline Shaw
Hollis Robbins
Bishop Robert Barron
William Gibson
Robert Sapolsky
Sir Demis Hassabis
Jonathan Sumption
Ted Chiang
Samuel Scheffler
Will Baude
Jan Swafford
Knausgaard (again)
Jensen Huang
Aella
Kathleen Tyson
John Ioannidis
Werner Herzog
Vaclav Smil
Haruki Murakami
Cremieux
Michel Houellebecq
David Runciman
William Hague
Ben Goldacre
Oprah Winfrey
Dua Lipa
Hillary Clinton
Thomas Sowell
Bari Weiss
Novak Djokovic
Bill Gates
Lana Del Rey
Scott Alexander
Martha Nussbaum
100
66
63
57
48
46
43
42
38
31
29
26
24
23
22
21
20
19
17
16
15
14
13
10
9
8
7
6
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
177
56
229
44
102
91
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