the Pentagon News

The Pentagon cuts ties with Anthropic

The Pentagon declares Anthropic a "supply chain risk"

Anthropic files a lawsuit against the federal government

A judge grants an injunction against the Department of War

An injunction is granted against the supply chain risk designation

The Department of War signs a deal to use OpenAI models instead

OpenAI signs a contract substantially weaker than Anthropic's requirements

An injunction is granted against the supply chain risk designation And survives unblocked by other courts for 6 months

The supply chain risk designation is officially issued

Anthropic's "supply chain risk" designation removed before 2027

Anthropic's "supply chain risk" designation removed before July

Resignation letter signed by at least 5 OpenAI employees

The government offers the same terms to Anthropic as to OpenAI

US company with >100B total valuation cancels some Pentagon contract and uses Anthropic supply chain risk designation as stated justification

Anthropic's contract is publicly available

OpenAI's new contract is publicly available

The Pentagon invokes the Defense Production Act

Anthropic gives the government unfettered access of their own accord (they "cave in")

Autonomous weapon + surveillance Claude safeguards are removed for the Pentagon

The Pentagon designates Anthropic a supply chain risk, AND invokes the Defense Production Act

Resignation letter signed by at least 5 Anthropic researchers

Will Amazon have to divest / break with Anthropic in 2026?

Anthropic stops advancing AI capabilities

Dario Amodei leaves or is removed from Anthropic

The Pentagon continues to use Anthropic services without the requested changes (autonomous weapon + mass surveillance of americans)

Gannon Ken Van Dyke

We don't find out by end of 2026

JD Vance (VP)

Stephen Miller (Homeland Security)

Pete Hegseth (SecDef)

Barron Trump

Marco Rubio (Sec State)

John Ratcliffe (CIA)

Nicolás Maduro (former Venezuelan President)

Eitan Levi (is a civilian associate within the extended personal network of a U.S. Delta Force member)

Jorge Rodríguez (brother of Delcy Rodríguez)

Amanda Rubio (daughter of Marco Rubio)

Aurelio Perez-Lugones (Pentagon Contractor)

Anthropic does not cave: stays a leading lab

Anthropic does not cave: stops being a leading lab

Anthropic caves: stays a leading lab

Anthropic is designated as a supply chain risk

Anthropic's Pentagon contract is canceled

Donald Trump publicly comments on the conflict (by March 15)

A non-Anthropic LLM is deployed and accessible to end users on classified Pentagon networks

Anthropic agrees to "all lawful use" of their models (or it is otherwise made clear that no use restrictions on the models will be in effect)

Defense Production Act used to compel Anthropic

More than 10 Anthropic employees publicly state that they're leaving due to (or partially due to) the result of this conflict

NO

YES

NO

Natural phenomena

Faked evidence / false testimony

Failure of detection equipment

Advanced and secret human technology

Previously unknown other species inhabitants of earth

NO

YES

YES

YES