Ukraine News

Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet

5 months ago

Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians

Ukraine

War

Politics

Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians

5 months ago

Macron Vows to Finish 2027 Term as Franco-German Summit Backs Ukraine

France

Germany

War

Macron Vows to Finish 2027 Term as Franco-German Summit Backs Ukraine

5 months ago

Russia

Ukraine

War

Russia Says Forces Gain 600–700 km² Monthly in Ukraine Advance

5 months ago

China

India

Russia

Kremlin Says Putin to Meet Iran’s Pezeshkian, Asian Leaders in China

5 months ago

Ukraine

War

Politics

EU Weighs Expanding Ukraine Training Mission, Leaves Troop Deployments to Members

5 months ago

Portugal

War

US Foreign Policy

Portugal’s President Calls Trump ‘Russian Asset,’ Pressuring NATO Unity

5 months ago

Russia

Ukraine

War

Moscow Rejects Western Security Plan for Ukraine, Warns Against NATO Troops

5 months ago

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:16 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

31.33%chance

526245516

OptionVotes

YES

6901

6797

Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Jan 10, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.43%chance

534216028

OptionVotes

YES

4263

1157

Ukraine warcasting megamarket

Jun 8, 2:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

346215046

OptionProbability

Will Zelensky be in power 2025 Jan 1st?

Will Putin be in power 2025 Jan 1st?

Will Trump be in power 2026 Jan 1st?

Will Putin be in power 2028 Jan 1st?

Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2026 (lasts for at least 1 year)

Will Zelensky be in power 2028 Jan 1st?

Will a successful coup happen in Russia before the peace is established?

Nuclear weapon launch aimed in such a way that it causes fewer than 10 civilian deaths (eg stratosphere, battlefield, over ocean) before 2030 by Russia

Will a successful coup happen in Ukraine before the peace is established?

>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2026

Russian nuke which causes more than 10 civilian deaths, by 2030

Will Russia or Ukraine gain control over a new city of 250k population by EOY 2024

Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2024 (lasts for at least 1 year)

Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2025 (lasts for at least 1 year)

>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2024

100

How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?

Jul 2, 9:32 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

670149728

OptionProbability

Ukraine ceding more than Crimea to Russia

No cease-fire of 6 months

Pre-2014: Crimea controlled by Ukraine

No Ukraine anymore

No Russia anymore

Pre-2022: Crimea controlled by Russia but not more

At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?

Nov 12, 11:10 AMJun 1, 12:59 AM

12.23%chance

28999888

OptionVotes

YES

5948

652

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030?

Aug 17, 11:42 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

16.07%chance

13729586

OptionVotes

YES

3875

982

Will the war in Ukraine end before 2027?

Dec 30, 6:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

36.15%chance

12028659

OptionVotes

YES

2871

1104

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?

Jun 17, 10:18 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

27%chance

26524118

OptionVotes

YES

3759

1528

Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?

Jul 2, 5:24 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

30.61%chance

15022796

OptionVotes

YES

3005

1008

If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?

Mar 11, 3:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.34%chance

292716

OptionVotes

YES

2165

1849

Will Ukraine join NATO before Family Guy ends?

Mar 7, 7:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.96%chance

291737

OptionVotes

YES

2006

1960

Will at least one >80% subsaharan ancestry country score above Ukraine on PISA for at least one year before 2100 without mass genetic enhancement?

Jan 17, 10:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.5%chance

241211

OptionVotes

YES

1938

1060

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If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Ukraine warcasting megamarket

How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?

At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030?

Will the war in Ukraine end before 2027?

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?

Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?

If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?

Will Ukraine join NATO before Family Guy ends?

Will at least one >80% subsaharan ancestry country score above Ukraine on PISA for at least one year before 2100 without mass genetic enhancement?

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