Ukraine News

Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet

1 year ago

Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians

Ukraine

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Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians

1 year ago

Macron Vows to Finish 2027 Term as Franco-German Summit Backs Ukraine

France

Germany

War

Macron Vows to Finish 2027 Term as Franco-German Summit Backs Ukraine

1 year ago

Russia

Ukraine

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Russia Says Forces Gain 600–700 km² Monthly in Ukraine Advance

1 year ago

China

India

Russia

Kremlin Says Putin to Meet Iran’s Pezeshkian, Asian Leaders in China

1 year ago

Ukraine

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EU Weighs Expanding Ukraine Training Mission, Leaves Troop Deployments to Members

1 year ago

Portugal

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US Foreign Policy

Portugal’s President Calls Trump ‘Russian Asset,’ Pressuring NATO Unity

1 year ago

Russia

Ukraine

War

Moscow Rejects Western Security Plan for Ukraine, Warns Against NATO Troops

1 year ago

Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Jan 10, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.52%chance

659285803

OptionVotes

YES

19636

11900

Ukraine warcasting megamarket

Jun 8, 2:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

359228410

OptionProbability

Will Zelensky be in power 2025 Jan 1st?

Will Putin be in power 2025 Jan 1st?

Will Trump be in power 2026 Jan 1st?

Will Putin be in power 2028 Jan 1st?

Will Zelensky be in power 2028 Jan 1st?

Will a successful coup happen in Russia before the peace is established?

Will a successful coup happen in Ukraine before the peace is established?

Nuclear weapon launch aimed in such a way that it causes fewer than 10 civilian deaths (eg stratosphere, battlefield, over ocean) before 2030 by Russia

Russian nuke which causes more than 10 civilian deaths, by 2030

Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2026 (lasts for at least 1 year)

>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2026

Will Russia or Ukraine gain control over a new city of 250k population by EOY 2024

Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2024 (lasts for at least 1 year)

Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2025 (lasts for at least 1 year)

>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2024

100

How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?

Jul 2, 9:32 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

684153557

OptionProbability

Ukraine ceding more than Crimea to Russia

No cease-fire of 6 months

Pre-2014: Crimea controlled by Ukraine

Pre-2022: Crimea controlled by Russia but not more

No Ukraine anymore

No Russia anymore

Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war

Apr 8, 3:00 AMMay 15, 3:59 AM

34.89%chance

213142058

OptionVotes

YES

1259

744

At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?

Nov 12, 11:10 AMJun 29, 12:59 AM

15.91%chance

310102310

OptionVotes

YES

5199

773

Will the war in Ukraine end before 2027?

Dec 30, 6:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.84%chance

15542916

OptionVotes

YES

5861

386

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030?

Aug 17, 11:42 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

15.3%chance

13929812

OptionVotes

YES

4006

957

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?

Jun 17, 10:18 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

27.41%chance

26724133

OptionVotes

YES

3719

1543

Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?

Jul 2, 5:24 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

30.71%chance

15222806

OptionVotes

YES

2999

1011

If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?

Mar 11, 3:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

86.59%chance

417176

OptionVotes

YES

5009

891

Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2030?

Jun 9, 5:07 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

15%chance

446918

OptionVotes

YES

762

Will Ukraine join NATO before Family Guy ends?

Mar 7, 7:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.89%chance

301791

OptionVotes

YES

2060

1925

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Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?

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How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?

Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war

At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?

Will the war in Ukraine end before 2027?

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030?

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?

Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?

If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?

Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2030?

Will Ukraine join NATO before Family Guy ends?

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