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Prediction markets for Watson
Who will create the first AI model to generate a high quality movie before 2028?
Feb 8, 12:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
3510396
OptionProbability
62
17
12
8
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia at some point in their life?
Mar 27, 3:52 PMSep 9, 2:29 PM
276907
OptionProbability
64
50
45
32
32
28
23
22
22
22
21
21
20
20
20
20
20
19
18
18
16
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
14
13
11
11
11
10
9
8
7
6
6
5
5
5
OptionVotes
1255
797
OptionVotes
332
57
OptionProbability
58
23
13
5
2
Will Nobel winning scientist James Watson become a centenarian?
May 5, 4:53 PMApr 7, 3:59 AM
35.74%chance
980
OptionVotes
134
75
OptionVotes
135
74
OptionVotes
120
70
OptionVotes
71
35
Will someone make a public reference to James D. Watson (eg in a speech) for Hereticon 2025?
Jun 12, 10:44 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
53.02%chance
316
OptionVotes
106
94
OptionVotes
80
62
OptionProbability
66
50
50
50
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