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Top stories

US Foreign Policy

White House’s Navarro Calls Europe’s Russian Oil Buys ‘Insanity’

Authors

6

1 year ago

Prediction markets for White

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

48.77%chance

229116219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

976

Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.46%chance

18242842

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7423

1007

Will there be a season 4 of The White Lotus?

Jan 4, 6:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

99.45%chance

1630861

OptionVotes

NO

YES

21317

93

Will the next White House Press Secretary after Katie Zachariah be a blonde woman?

Oct 16, 7:51 PMNov 14, 11:00 PM

26.44%chance

20321185

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1771

366

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

May 23, 1:08 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

88.26%chance

397502

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2743

365

Will the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom?

Oct 26, 6:21 PMJan 20, 5:47 PM

535682

OptionProbability

No, less than half ballroom etc.

Yes, more than half ballroom etc

58

42

Next White House Press Secretary announced before end of 2026?

Oct 30, 2:37 AMDec 30, 11:00 PM

76.69%chance

164611

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1724

640

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

61.66%chance

183552

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11364

9035

Will Marius Binner Win the ARC White-Box Estimation Challenge 2026

Oct 1, 10:45 AMNov 15, 12:59 AM

49.95%chance

83312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1001

999

Will the 2028 Democratic nominee be a straight white male?

Mar 19, 12:28 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM

62.29%chance

221560

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1285

778

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to hear the White House Ballroom case by the end of their 2026-2027 term?

Mar 31, 9:12 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

44.18%chance

141005

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1124

890

Will there be a non-white Republican Nominee before the end of 2032?

Feb 24, 5:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.54%chance

14207

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1061

965

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Europe
US Foreign Policy
Energy
White House’s Navarro Calls Europe’s Russian Oil Buys ‘Insanity’
Authors
6
1 year ago

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