2020 Census News

1 year ago

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.18%chance

87352

OptionVotes

YES

5565

1084

How many top-50 US metros will Waymo serve at the end of 2026?

Sep 9, 1:51 AMJan 16, 4:59 AM

275488

OptionProbability

9 to 16

17 to 24

<=8

>=25

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?

Feb 15, 11:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

183859

OptionVotes

YES

2603

1623

How many top-50 US metros will Waymo serve at EOY 2027?

Mar 19, 9:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

103080

OptionProbability

20-29

30-39

10-19

<10

40+

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

25.79%chance

292096

OptionVotes

YES

1778

534

Will Texas pass California in population by 2030?

Aug 7, 2:23 PMFeb 8, 5:59 AM

13.68%chance

251508

OptionVotes

YES

1218

947

Will the foreign population of Japan exceed 5 million people by the 2025 census?

Mar 20, 11:54 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM

5.91%chance

141096

OptionVotes

YES

701

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Oct 7, 12:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.26%chance

18582

OptionVotes

YES

1000

975

Will the majority of US households be "coupled" households in 2030?

Sep 11, 9:02 PMMay 26, 6:59 AM

88.3%chance

7489

OptionVotes

YES

288

Will the population of Lahaina, Hawaii, exceed 10,000 in the 2030 census?

Aug 30, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.72%chance

8224

OptionVotes

YES

1294

971

Will Kansas City Missouri have a population of over 550 thousand people in 2030 as reported by the US Census?

Nov 29, 4:43 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

48.61%chance

5119

OptionVotes

YES

131

Will the 2030 NYC census be less than the 2020 census?

Aug 14, 12:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.48%chance

695

OptionVotes

YES

109

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2020 Census News

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Prediction markets for 2020 Census

Prediction markets for 2020 Census

Prediction markets for 2020 Census

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

How many top-50 US metros will Waymo serve at the end of 2026?

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?

How many top-50 US metros will Waymo serve at EOY 2027?

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Will Texas pass California in population by 2030?

Will the foreign population of Japan exceed 5 million people by the 2025 census?

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Will the majority of US households be "coupled" households in 2030?

Will the population of Lahaina, Hawaii, exceed 10,000 in the 2030 census?

Will Kansas City Missouri have a population of over 550 thousand people in 2030 as reported by the US Census?

Will the 2030 NYC census be less than the 2020 census?

Latest stories

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