2020 Census News

6 months ago

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.47%chance

57143

OptionVotes

YES

8029

896

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.58%chance

281696

OptionVotes

YES

1378

717

Will Texas pass California in population by 2030?

Aug 7, 2:23 PMFeb 8, 5:59 AM

13.28%chance

251473

OptionVotes

YES

1252

942

Will the foreign population of Japan exceed 5 million people by the 2025 census?

Mar 20, 11:54 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM

6.03%chance

11666

OptionVotes

YES

691

Will the majority of US households be "coupled" households in 2030?

Sep 11, 9:02 PMMay 26, 6:59 AM

88.3%chance

7489

OptionVotes

YES

288

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Oct 7, 12:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.97%chance

16382

OptionVotes

YES

1005

970

Will there be a large protest across US based on a political/ economical/ social issue?

Sep 30, 10:27 AMMar 31, 9:58 AM

75.79%chance

9335

OptionVotes

YES

177

Will the population of Lahaina, Hawaii, exceed 10,000 in the 2030 census?

Aug 30, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.92%chance

7124

OptionVotes

YES

1194

1087

Will Kansas City Missouri have a population of over 550 thousand people in 2030 as reported by the US Census?

Nov 29, 4:43 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

48.61%chance

5119

OptionVotes

YES

131

Will the 2030 NYC census be less than the 2020 census?

Aug 14, 12:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.48%chance

695

OptionVotes

YES

109

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

285

OptionProbability

Melissa Hurtado (incumbent)

Mike Boudreaux

Other

Will the population of Mississippi reach 3 million people before 2050?

Sep 27, 6:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

73.9%chance

470

OptionVotes

YES

168

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2020 Census News

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Prediction markets for 2020 Census

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Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Will Texas pass California in population by 2030?

Will the foreign population of Japan exceed 5 million people by the 2025 census?

Will the majority of US households be "coupled" households in 2030?

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Will there be a large protest across US based on a political/ economical/ social issue?

Will the population of Lahaina, Hawaii, exceed 10,000 in the 2030 census?

Will Kansas City Missouri have a population of over 550 thousand people in 2030 as reported by the US Census?

Will the 2030 NYC census be less than the 2020 census?

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district

Will the population of Mississippi reach 3 million people before 2050?

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