2020 Census News

9 months ago

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.18%chance

77331

OptionVotes

YES

5565

1084

How many top-50 US metros will Waymo serve at the end of 2026?

Sep 9, 1:51 AMJan 16, 4:59 AM

234449

OptionProbability

9 to 16

17 to 24

<=8

>=25

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?

Feb 15, 11:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

163670

OptionVotes

YES

2603

1623

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.58%chance

281696

OptionVotes

YES

1378

717

Will Texas pass California in population by 2030?

Aug 7, 2:23 PMFeb 8, 5:59 AM

13.28%chance

251473

OptionVotes

YES

1252

942

Will the majority of US households be "coupled" households in 2030?

Sep 11, 9:02 PMMay 26, 6:59 AM

88.3%chance

7489

OptionVotes

YES

288

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Oct 7, 12:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.05%chance

17482

OptionVotes

YES

1105

875

Will the population of Lahaina, Hawaii, exceed 10,000 in the 2030 census?

Aug 30, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.92%chance

7124

OptionVotes

YES

1194

1087

Will Kansas City Missouri have a population of over 550 thousand people in 2030 as reported by the US Census?

Nov 29, 4:43 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

48.61%chance

5119

OptionVotes

YES

131

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3115

OptionProbability

Melissa Hurtado (incumbent)

Mike Boudreaux

Other

Will the 2030 NYC census be less than the 2020 census?

Aug 14, 12:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.48%chance

695

OptionVotes

YES

109

Will the population of Mississippi reach 3 million people before 2050?

Sep 27, 6:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

73.9%chance

470

OptionVotes

YES

168

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2020 Census News

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Prediction markets for 2020 Census

Prediction markets for 2020 Census

Prediction markets for 2020 Census

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

How many top-50 US metros will Waymo serve at the end of 2026?

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Will Texas pass California in population by 2030?

Will the majority of US households be "coupled" households in 2030?

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Will the population of Lahaina, Hawaii, exceed 10,000 in the 2030 census?

Will Kansas City Missouri have a population of over 550 thousand people in 2030 as reported by the US Census?

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district

Will the 2030 NYC census be less than the 2020 census?

Will the population of Mississippi reach 3 million people before 2050?

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