2020 Census News

1 year ago

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.18%chance

77331

OptionVotes

YES

5565

1084

How many top-50 US metros will Waymo serve at the end of 2026?

Sep 9, 1:51 AMJan 16, 4:59 AM

255087

OptionProbability

9 to 16

17 to 24

<=8

>=25

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?

Feb 15, 11:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

173692

OptionVotes

YES

2603

1623

How many top-50 US metros will Waymo serve at EOY 2027?

Mar 19, 9:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

102657

OptionProbability

20-29

10-19

30-39

<10

40+

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.58%chance

281696

OptionVotes

YES

1378

717

Will Texas pass California in population by 2030?

Aug 7, 2:23 PMFeb 8, 5:59 AM

13.68%chance

251508

OptionVotes

YES

1218

947

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Oct 7, 12:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.05%chance

17482

OptionVotes

YES

1105

875

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4315

OptionProbability

Melissa Hurtado (incumbent)

Guillermo Gonzalez

Mike Boudreaux

Other

Will the population of Lahaina, Hawaii, exceed 10,000 in the 2030 census?

Aug 30, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.72%chance

8224

OptionVotes

YES

1294

971

Will Kansas City Missouri have a population of over 550 thousand people in 2030 as reported by the US Census?

Nov 29, 4:43 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

48.61%chance

5119

OptionVotes

YES

131

Will the 2030 NYC census be less than the 2020 census?

Aug 14, 12:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.48%chance

695

OptionVotes

YES

109

Will the population of Mississippi reach 3 million people before 2050?

Sep 27, 6:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

73.9%chance

470

OptionVotes

YES

168

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2020 Census News

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Prediction markets for 2020 Census

Prediction markets for 2020 Census

Prediction markets for 2020 Census

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

How many top-50 US metros will Waymo serve at the end of 2026?

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?

How many top-50 US metros will Waymo serve at EOY 2027?

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Will Texas pass California in population by 2030?

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district

Will the population of Lahaina, Hawaii, exceed 10,000 in the 2030 census?

Will Kansas City Missouri have a population of over 550 thousand people in 2030 as reported by the US Census?

Will the 2030 NYC census be less than the 2020 census?

Will the population of Mississippi reach 3 million people before 2050?

Latest stories

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