2020 Census News
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Prediction markets for 2020 Census
Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?
May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.18%chance
77331
OptionVotes
5565
1084
OptionProbability
79
13
6
2
Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?
Feb 15, 11:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29%chance
163670
OptionVotes
2603
1623
OptionProbability
49
20
20
6
4
California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?
Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
37.58%chance
281696
OptionVotes
1378
717
OptionVotes
1252
942
Will the foreign population of Japan exceed 5 million people by the 2025 census?
Mar 20, 11:54 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM
4.9%chance
12876
OptionVotes
801
84
Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?
Oct 7, 12:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
46.05%chance
17482
OptionVotes
1105
875
Will the population of Lahaina, Hawaii, exceed 10,000 in the 2030 census?
Aug 30, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
43.92%chance
7124
OptionVotes
1194
1087
Will Kansas City Missouri have a population of over 550 thousand people in 2030 as reported by the US Census?
Nov 29, 4:43 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
48.61%chance
5119
OptionVotes
131
77
Will the 2030 NYC census be less than the 2020 census?
Aug 14, 12:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.48%chance
695
OptionVotes
109
91
Will the population of Mississippi reach 3 million people before 2050?
Sep 27, 6:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
73.9%chance
470
OptionVotes
168
59
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