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Top stories

JAXA Sets Oct. 21 H3 Launch for New HTV-X ISS Cargo Craft

Authors

5

6 months ago

Prediction markets for 2029 Earth

Will we discover alien life before 2029?

Jan 10, 10:53 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

5%chance

6512489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2696

830

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 5:42 PMJan 13, 7:59 AM

11.22%chance

263936

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1923

768

Amazon lets me rent a server located in earth orbit by mid 2029

May 12, 7:03 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

9.95%chance

351230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1793

847

When will Starship land on Mars?

Jul 21, 12:54 AMJan 21, 12:44 AM

141208

OptionProbability

2029

Never

2031

Later than 2032

2032

2030

2027

2028

2026

Other

28

20

19

16

5

4

3

3

1

1

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 4:02 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

79.43%chance

211107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

806

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?

Feb 21, 4:24 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM

5.02%chance

9775

OptionVotes

YES

NO

435

23

On April 13, 2029 will Apophis’ approach “thread the keyhole” such that it will impact earth 7 years later?

Apr 15, 12:23 AMApr 22, 3:59 AM

4.81%chance

7480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

676

135

Will a large earthquake rock a major city that isn't in a tectonically active area by end 2029?

Oct 13, 12:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.61%chance

11204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

117

Will China land humans on the Moon before the US returns astronauts to the lunar surface?

Dec 18, 3:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.92%chance

5137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Will there be 8.5B living humans on earth by the end of 2029? 💀🌎👶

Jan 17, 5:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.31%chance

10107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

194

148

Will a large impact crater be discovered by 2029?

Dec 10, 11:14 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

26.29%chance

663

OptionVotes

YES

NO

171

134

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Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Japan
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JAXA Sets Oct. 21 H3 Launch for New HTV-X ISS Cargo Craft
Authors
5
6 months ago

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