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Top stories

JAXA Sets Oct. 21 H3 Launch for New HTV-X ISS Cargo Craft

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for 2029 Earth

Will we discover alien life before 2029?

Jan 10, 10:53 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

6.23%chance

6613231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2213

859

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 5:42 PMJan 13, 7:59 AM

10.66%chance

274022

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2009

758

When will Starship land on Mars?

Jul 21, 12:54 AMJan 21, 12:44 AM

171444

OptionProbability

Later than 2032

Never

2031

2029

2030

2032

2026

2027

2028

Other

58

18

10

6

2

2

1

1

1

1

Amazon lets me rent a server located in earth orbit by mid 2029

May 12, 7:03 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

9.95%chance

351230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1793

847

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 4:02 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

76.85%chance

211202

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1047

711

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?

Feb 21, 4:24 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM

5.02%chance

9775

OptionVotes

YES

NO

435

23

On April 13, 2029 will Apophis’ approach “thread the keyhole” such that it will impact earth 7 years later?

Apr 15, 12:23 AMApr 22, 3:59 AM

4.81%chance

7480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

676

135

Will a large earthquake rock a major city that isn't in a tectonically active area by end 2029?

Oct 13, 12:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.61%chance

11204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

117

Will SR-1 Freedom Launch before March 2029?

Mar 26, 6:45 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

56.75%chance

5141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will there be 8.5B living humans on earth by the end of 2029? 💀🌎👶

Jan 17, 5:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60%chance

11137

OptionVotes

NO

YES

210

137

Will space be the cheapest place to put Elon by end of Feb 2029?

Feb 17, 4:11 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

32.39%chance

444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

144

69

Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 5 tonnes in 2029?

Apr 8, 2:21 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

66.22%chance

240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

71

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Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Japan
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Science
JAXA Sets Oct. 21 H3 Launch for New HTV-X ISS Cargo Craft
Authors
5
1 year ago

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