2030 Census News

Democrats Debate 2028 Primary Calendar as Iowa Eyes Rogue Caucus Amid 4.5 Million Voter Deficit and 2030 Census Shift

7 months ago

Louisiana Urges Supreme Court to Strike VRA’s Section 2, End Race-Based Maps

US Legislation

US Judiciary

Politics

Louisiana Urges Supreme Court to Strike VRA’s Section 2, End Race-Based Maps

7 months ago

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9%chance

67323

OptionVotes

YES

5645

1076

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?

Feb 15, 11:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

163670

OptionVotes

YES

2603

1623

The next census in 2030 will show an increase in United States birth rate.

Sep 30, 3:40 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

37.04%chance

141850

OptionVotes

YES

1142

599

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.58%chance

281696

OptionVotes

YES

1378

717

Will Texas pass California in population by 2030?

Aug 7, 2:23 PMFeb 8, 5:59 AM

13.28%chance

251473

OptionVotes

YES

1252

942

Which 3 US cities will see the largest raw increase in population over the 20s, as judged by the 2030 census?

Aug 9, 4:11 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

81029

OptionProbability

Austin, Texas

Fort Worth, TX

Houston, TX

San Antonio, TX

Phoenix, AZ

Dallas, TX

Charlotte, NC

NYC, NY

Seattle, WA

Atlanta, Georgia

Minneapolis, Minnesota

Denver, CO

Boston, MA

Detroit, Michigan

Los Angeles, CA

Miami, FL

Washington, DC

San Jose, CA

San Diego, CA

Columbus, OH

San Francisco, CA

Chicago, IL

Port St. Lucie, FL

Huntsville, Alabama

Boise, ID

Albuquerque, NM

Fort Myers, Florida

Berkeley, CA

Philadelphia, PA

Cleveland, OH

St Louis, MO

Salt Lake City, UT

Tallahassee, Florida

2030: % of "working age adults w/ serious difficulty remembering, making decisions" in US Census Survey? (long covid)

Jan 22, 1:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11572

OptionProbability

>= 4.5%, < 7% (post-2020 trend fit)

>= 7% (significantly worse than post-2020 trend)

>=3%, <4.5% (roughly current range)

< 3% (pre-2020 trend fit)

Will there be a new census before 2030?

Aug 7, 4:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.11%chance

11402

OptionVotes

YES

1248

802

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Oct 7, 12:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.97%chance

16382

OptionVotes

YES

1005

970

Will the population of Lahaina, Hawaii, exceed 10,000 in the 2030 census?

Aug 30, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.92%chance

7124

OptionVotes

YES

1194

1087

Will Kansas City Missouri have a population of over 550 thousand people in 2030 as reported by the US Census?

Nov 29, 4:43 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

48.61%chance

5119

OptionVotes

YES

131

Will the 2030 NYC census be less than the 2020 census?

Aug 14, 12:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.48%chance

695

OptionVotes

YES

109

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Legislation
US Judiciary
Politics
Louisiana Urges Supreme Court to Strike VRA’s Section 2, End Race-Based Maps
Authors
14
7 months ago
Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
US Elections
Politics
Democrats Debate 2028 Primary Calendar as Iowa Eyes Rogue Caucus Amid 4.5 Million Voter Deficit and 2030 Census Shift
Authors
20
7 months ago

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2030 Census News

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Prediction markets for 2030 Census

Prediction markets for 2030 Census

Prediction markets for 2030 Census

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?

The next census in 2030 will show an increase in United States birth rate.

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Will Texas pass California in population by 2030?

Which 3 US cities will see the largest raw increase in population over the 20s, as judged by the 2030 census?

2030: % of "working age adults w/ serious difficulty remembering, making decisions" in US Census Survey? (long covid)

Will there be a new census before 2030?

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Will the population of Lahaina, Hawaii, exceed 10,000 in the 2030 census?

Will Kansas City Missouri have a population of over 550 thousand people in 2030 as reported by the US Census?

Will the 2030 NYC census be less than the 2020 census?

Latest stories

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