2030 Census News
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Prediction markets for 2030 Census
Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?
May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.38%chance
54593
OptionVotes
5479
1093
California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?
Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
37.61%chance
271695
OptionVotes
1348
703
The next census in 2030 will show an increase in United States birth rate.
Sep 30, 3:40 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
24.17%chance
131463
OptionVotes
988
956
OptionVotes
1296
931
Which 3 US cities will see the largest raw increase in population over the 20s, as judged by the 2030 census?
Aug 9, 4:11 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
7999
OptionProbability
74
73
68
47
46
30
26
20
16
16
16
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
11
10
10
9
7
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
2030: % of "working age adults w/ serious difficulty remembering, making decisions" in US Census Survey? (long covid)
Jan 22, 1:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
11572
OptionProbability
47
43
8
2
Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?
Oct 7, 12:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50.97%chance
16382
OptionVotes
1005
970
OptionVotes
1198
835
Will Trump force the USA to take a new census by the end of 2028?
Aug 14, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.89%chance
10312
OptionVotes
678
556
Will the population of Lahaina, Hawaii, exceed 10,000 in the 2030 census?
Aug 30, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
43.92%chance
7124
OptionVotes
1194
1087
Will Kansas City Missouri have a population of over 550 thousand people in 2030 as reported by the US Census?
Nov 29, 4:43 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
48.61%chance
5119
OptionVotes
131
77
Will the 2030 NYC census be less than the 2020 census?
Aug 14, 12:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.48%chance
695
OptionVotes
109
91
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