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Top stories

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Prediction markets for Academy Award

Will a movie made entirely by artificial intelligence win an Academy Award by 2030?

Jan 12, 12:55 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

6.78%chance

282172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1983

871

Will a High Frame Rate film win an Academy Award before 2030?

Jul 15, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.36%chance

321716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1191

841

Which films will win an Oscar at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jul 3, 3:44 PMJul 10, 8:59 PM

7897

OptionProbability

Mickey 17

1

By 2040, will a superhero movie win an academy award for best picture?

Feb 17, 2:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.07%chance

26716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1374

889

Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)

Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

51.97%chance

24705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1140

803

Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?

Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.35%chance

22616

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

808

Will there be an Academy Award for stunt men by the end of 2030?

May 5, 4:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

94.9%chance

7417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

431

23

Will a film directed by a female director win the Academy Award for Best Director before 2028?

Jan 21, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.15%chance

10280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

217

71

Will Conan O’Brien host the Academy Awards (Oscars) for a third consecutive year (2027)?

Mar 15, 6:55 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

66.94%chance

7196

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

70

Will Ralph Fiennes win the Academy Award Oscar for for Best Actor by the end of 2029?

May 3, 4:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.91%chance

4189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

286

35

Will someone named Rigoberto or Rigobert be nominated for an Academy Award / Oscar before April 1st 2032?

Jan 17, 10:08 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

23.43%chance

781

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

136

Joel Haver wins an academy award before 2030

Mar 6, 2:32 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.96%chance

432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

92

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