AI Act News

EU Asserts Sovereign Right to Regulate Tech, Plans to Remove US Tariffs Following Trump’s Demand

10 months ago

Colorado Delays AI Bias Law to June 2026 as California Enforces CCPA AI Rules Oct. 1 and Expands Insurance AI Governance

10 months ago

Which AI future will we get?

May 1, 7:15 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11822099

OptionProbability

Futurama: AI tech produces great advances but our civilization recognizably continues

Singularia: AI is autonomous and acts as "benevolent gods"

AI-Dystopia: AI tech produces great harm but our civilization recognizably continues

Paperclipalypse: AI causes our extinction or similar

AI-Fizzle: AI tech doesn't have a huge impact

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass?

Jan 30, 2:53 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8110310

OptionProbability

Futurama: AI tech produces great advances but our civilization recognizably continues

Singularia: AI is autonomous and acts as "benevolent gods"

AI-Dystopia: AI tech produces great harm but our civilization recognizably continues

AI-Fizzle: AI tech doesn't have a huge impact

Paperclipalypse: AI causes our extinction or similar

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass? (Metaculus forecast, 2027-12-31)

Dec 30, 4:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86464

OptionProbability

Futurama: AI tech produces great advances but our civilization recognizably continues

AI-Dystopia: AI tech produces great harm but our civilization recognizably continues

Singularia: AI is autonomous and acts as "benevolent gods"

Paperclipalypse: AI causes our extinction or similar

AI-Fizzle: AI tech doesn't have a huge impact

What will happen first

Oct 17, 10:01 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

333770

OptionProbability

A nuke (of any size) will be detonated above ground in a test orchestrated by humans.

A nuclear missile is decommissioned in order for its fissile material to be used to power a nuclear power plant that provides power to an AI datacenter.

A nuke (of any size) will be detonated in a conflict or as an act of terror by humans.

An AI accident or malevolent act causes a nuke to detonate.

Will the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress?

Mar 27, 3:22 AMFeb 1, 11:59 AM

7.65%chance

92778

OptionVotes

YES

3475

288

AI Warning Signs: Will any country threaten or commit an act of aggression due to an AI capabilities race before 2030?

Jan 18, 7:12 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

58.64%chance

10641

OptionVotes

YES

1191

840

Will the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026?

Mar 16, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60%chance

15340

OptionVotes

YES

122

My voice AI covertly acts as me in pharmacy calls by mid 2029

Jun 4, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

57%chance

9301

OptionVotes

YES

1151

869

Major AI companies continue experiencing problems with public due to AI (based on transformer language model) overcome behavior limitations and acts "strange" by the end of 2027

Feb 26, 1:53 PMDec 31, 6:59 PM

55.31%chance

5218

OptionVotes

YES

252

179

Will there be an Ozymandias-Beihai act motivated by AI risks by 2035?

Jun 15, 12:04 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

44.93%chance

7176

OptionVotes

YES

1107

903

Will an AI system legally act as a healthcare proxy anywhere in the US by 2032?

Nov 27, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60%chance

457

OptionVotes

YES

129

Will the EU publish final AI Act Article 73 incident guidance by Aug 2, 2026?

May 12, 10:15 AMAug 2, 10:00 PM

51.03%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

126

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Which AI future will we get?

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass?

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass? (Metaculus forecast, 2027-12-31)

What will happen first

Will the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress?

AI Warning Signs: Will any country threaten or commit an act of aggression due to an AI capabilities race before 2030?

Will the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026?

My voice AI covertly acts as me in pharmacy calls by mid 2029

Major AI companies continue experiencing problems with public due to AI (based on transformer language model) overcome behavior limitations and acts "strange" by the end of 2027

Will there be an Ozymandias-Beihai act motivated by AI risks by 2035?

Will an AI system legally act as a healthcare proxy anywhere in the US by 2032?

Will the EU publish final AI Act Article 73 incident guidance by Aug 2, 2026?

Latest stories

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