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Prediction markets for AI Cloud
Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?
Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM
19543677
OptionProbability
62
24
9
5
Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035
Jan 5, 5:22 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
29.98%chance
217286
OptionVotes
15272
6552
I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?
Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
19.08%chance
746756
OptionVotes
1862
1305
xAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
Sep 28, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
49.14%chance
112824
OptionVotes
1017
983
OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
Nov 7, 7:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.72%chance
192798
OptionVotes
2886
346
AI "devops" #2: Will there be an AI that can help manage cloud infrastructure by 2030?
May 4, 9:06 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
78.28%chance
101893
OptionVotes
1030
975
AI system achieves full technological and economic autonomy before 2028?
Sep 20, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.52%chance
61498
OptionVotes
1440
694
Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.22%chance
14858
OptionVotes
1271
787
When will a cloud provider attribute an incident resolution to an autonomous AI agent
Feb 25, 4:35 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
2564
OptionProbability
41
20
15
14
10
OptionVotes
170
59
OptionVotes
1095
1027