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Prediction markets for AI Design Agent
7. Major progress will be made on building AI systems that can themselves autonomously build better AI systems.
Dec 27, 8:18 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM
73.96%chance
203037
OptionVotes
1685
593
2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today
Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
22.16%chance
202757
OptionVotes
1470
801
2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.
Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
82.06%chance
372697
OptionVotes
1928
630
OpenAI Agent continue refusing to do captchas by mid-2026?
Jul 18, 5:29 PMJul 18, 5:26 PM
46.41%chance
212381
OptionVotes
1707
1276
Will an AI-designed drug get FDA approval by the end of 2025?
Oct 8, 12:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
13.82%chance
331750
OptionVotes
2121
681
OptionVotes
547
18
OptionVotes
5735
4626
Will computer-using AI agents play Balatro better than me by eoy 2025?
Oct 29, 2:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
17.77%chance
15391
OptionVotes
215
46
Global media opinion of Obama will improve from EOY 2023 to mid year 2027, according to OpenAI's best LLM
Dec 18, 9:57 PMJul 1, 5:59 AM
49.85%chance
215
OptionVotes
50
50
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