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Prediction markets for AI Suite
Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?
Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
44.44%chance
15835470
OptionVotes
1721
1121
In 2029, will any AI be able to take an arbitrary proof in the mathematical literature and translate it into a form suitable for symbolic verification? (Gary Marcus benchmark #5)
Sep 16, 8:47 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
80.05%chance
9814256
OptionVotes
2083
697
Will we get AGI before a human walks on the Moon again?
Dec 31, 1:07 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
55%chance
817853
OptionVotes
1852
548
A major tech company, besides Anthropic, reports at least 98% of its code is AI-generated before April 1, 2026
Mar 11, 2:59 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
16.16%chance
356288
OptionVotes
2278
439
Will Sarah Anderson et al prove Stability AI, Midjourney, and DeviantArt violated copyright laws in claim 1?
Jan 14, 10:50 PMJan 15, 4:59 AM
18.07%chance
443696
OptionVotes
1000
841
OptionVotes
1595
1109
Will there be a successful medical malpractice suit by end of 2025 for NOT using AI for diagnosis or treatment
Sep 7, 3:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
11.56%chance
12487
OptionVotes
1256
944
Tennis-like sport played on another planet or in space by end 2036
Oct 8, 6:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
45.15%chance
13328
OptionVotes
1031
945
Kramer Intelligence overtakes Apple Intelligence by the end of 2026?
Jul 4, 10:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.65%chance
6163
OptionVotes
263
38
Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?
Dec 30, 5:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
16%chance
4122
OptionVotes
171
82
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