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Top stories

Google Brings Gemini CLI to Zed, Launches Open Agent Protocol

Google Brings Gemini CLI to Zed, Launches Open Agent Protocol

Authors

16

5 months ago

Google Makes Vids Free, Adds AI Avatars and Image-to-Video Tool

Google Makes Vids Free, Adds AI Avatars and Image-to-Video Tool

Authors

31

5 months ago

OpenAI Debuts gpt-realtime Voice Model as Realtime API Enters General Availability

OpenAI Debuts gpt-realtime Voice Model as Realtime API Enters General Availability

Authors

32

5 months ago

Nvidia Puts RTX Pro AI Servers Into Full Production

Authors

6

5 months ago

Apple Weighs Mistral and Perplexity Deals in Bid to Boost AI

Authors

35

5 months ago

Musk’s xAI Sues Apple, OpenAI for $1 Billion Over AI Monopoly

Authors

128

5 months ago

Perplexity AI Puts $42.5 Million Behind 80% Publisher Revenue Share

Authors

35

5 months ago

Microsoft Releases VibeVoice-1.5B Open-Source TTS Model Generating 90-Minute Multi-Speaker Audio with Cross-Lingual and Singing Features

Authors

14

5 months ago

Prediction markets for AI

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Feb 20, 10:47 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.85%chance

419811291643

OptionVotes

YES

NO

30327

16157

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.62%chance

8044170467

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3562

1813

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Feb 20, 10:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

77.25%chance

25582230844

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10558

2136

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.04%chance

967737048

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10126

9776

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

9.91%chance

811504802

OptionVotes

YES

NO

58014

10529

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50%chance

555495987

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3489

1137

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

46.47%chance

493409147

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2991

2170

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

Mar 11, 6:21 AMMar 18, 6:59 AM

45%chance

231391548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6865

2234

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

11.18%chance

203282468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4438

1297

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

Jan 28, 4:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

63.37%chance

318218151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2061

1304

Will we develop Leopold's 'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?

Jun 10, 7:37 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

61.39%chance

253131777

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1262

794

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.4%chance

28490246

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5301

4725

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