OptionProbability
Eritrean Defense Forces and Tigray Defense Force will win the Fight.
Ethiopian Defense Force will win the Fight
It will be stalemate
71
16
13
State Administration Council or successor military junta
National Unity Government in exile (Aung San Suu Kyi)
A majority nondemocrtic coalition of ethnic armed groups
Other
A majority democratic coalition of ethnic armed groups
China
35
22
18
5
2
OptionVotes
YES
NO
115
87
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