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Prediction markets for America First
OptionVotes
6271
1868
Will Nidal Hasans execution be livestreamed in 2026?
Oct 9, 6:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
1.15%chance
4913123
OptionVotes
5307
30
Will Frederiksen/Denmark buy or acquire part of the US?
Jan 7, 8:25 PMJan 21, 8:23 PM
4.66%chance
109361
OptionVotes
4527
221
Does Manifold "agree" with the following song lyrics (add your own)
Sep 29, 1:54 AMJan 28, 12:59 PM
191578
OptionProbability
93
88
80
76
74
74
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
45
41
41
31
26
19
17
When will it first be possible to rent an autonomous vehicle to drive between cities in North America without a license?
Feb 21, 12:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM
111137
OptionProbability
81
75
66
31
3
0
Things named after Trump or named by Trump after America are renamed during the first year of Trump out of office?
Aug 27, 6:58 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM
241114
OptionProbability
87
86
68
54
48
46
45
31
Which country outside Europe and South America will be the first to win the men’s FIFA World Cup?
Jun 22, 12:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4988
OptionProbability
14
11
10
9
8
7
5
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
will my taiwanese grandma (86) pass away before china invades taiwan?
Feb 26, 12:46 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
65.25%chance
6583
OptionVotes
1370
730
Will Trump Accounts be expanded to include Americans under 40 years old by EOY 2027?
Oct 20, 7:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31.64%chance
4525
OptionVotes
1245
864
OptionProbability
66
34
Will the first woman president of America have previously been a governor?
Aug 9, 2:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
36.36%chance
679
OptionVotes
132
76
Will the first woman president of America have previously been a governor?
Aug 12, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
36.36%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100




