App Store News
Prediction markets for App Store
What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination?
Sep 11, 7:17 PMSep 11, 7:13 PM
24018579
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
90
83
57
37
35
34
32
31
28
25
25
24
24
22
20
18
18
17
15
15
15
15
14
13
12
12
12
11
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
7
7
6
5
5
5
4
1
0
0
0
OptionProbability
99
99
98
98
98
97
96
95
95
92
92
90
88
83
82
82
80
75
54
46
41
35
24
24
19
16
15
14
9
4
3
0
By EOY 2026, will iPhones have an AI that has access to and remembers everything you did on your phone?
May 21, 6:12 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM
24.48%chance
689722
OptionVotes
1756
569
If TikTok is removed from the app store, will an iPhone with TikTok installed sell for $10,000+ on eBay within 1yr?
Mar 18, 9:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5.53%chance
232086
OptionVotes
2215
826
Will the standalone Hulu app still exist on July 1, 2026?
Aug 9, 5:28 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM
48.13%chance
111020
OptionVotes
1047
972
OptionProbability
80
66
66
66
65
62
55
55
55
52
48
48
47
47
43
40
36
36
33
32
Will Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026?
Mar 27, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.29%chance
20720
OptionVotes
142
71
Will Anthropic Claude remain in the top 10 free apps on Apple App Store for 7+ consecutive days in March 2026?
Mar 3, 10:15 AMApr 3, 3:00 AM
79%chance
8489
OptionVotes
192
22
Will ChatGPT be the top free app in the Apple app store on March 31, 2026? (US)
Jan 7, 5:00 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
70.71%chance
21456
OptionVotes
365
257
Will OpenAI release a super-app combining ChatGPT, Codex, and Atlass apps, before May 1 2026?
Mar 22, 3:26 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM
49.18%chance
9376
OptionVotes
1017
984
Will Apple VR App Store revenue surpass Meta Quest Store revenues in 4 years?
Aug 1, 10:40 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
45.66%chance
439
OptionVotes
103
77




