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Prediction markets for Apple Intelligence
Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?
Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM
67.55%chance
10358928
OptionVotes
144964
69643
In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?
Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
20.29%chance
15211730
OptionVotes
7799
3854
6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.
Dec 28, 11:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
90.5%chance
246554
OptionVotes
3092
324
When will Apple, Inc. turn Apple Intelligence into a paid, premium service and begin charging users for access?
Jun 11, 2:34 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
172975
OptionProbability
82
16
1
1
0
Will Apple ship a Gemini-powered Siri update to iPhones in 2026?
Mar 26, 11:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
74%chance
141432
OptionVotes
357
84
Kramer Intelligence overtakes Apple Intelligence by the end of 2026?
Jul 4, 10:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.28%chance
6213
OptionVotes
313
32
Will Apple announce any camera-equipped AI wearable before 2027?
May 9, 11:11 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM
20.35%chance
5120
OptionVotes
178
68
OptionProbability
60
23
17
Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?
Aug 1, 4:23 PMAug 20, 7:59 PM
68.73%chance
212
OptionVotes
105
97
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