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Apple TV News

    Prediction markets for Apple TV

    Severance Fan Theories [add predictions]

    Feb 1, 8:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    6413561

    OptionProbability

    Helena was pretending to be her innie in S2E01

    Gemma is alive

    Burt is revealed to be still working for Lumon in some capacity

    Mark impregnated Helly

    Jame Eagen will try to replace Helena with her innie

    Lumon was involved in Gemma's death

    Several/all non-severed employees have been raised by Lumon since childhood

    Lumon killed or somehow hurt Selvig’s mother or other relative

    All or parts of “the board” are not living humans

    Innie Mark appears in S3E1 (no flashbacks)

    Helena will turn against Lumon

    Mark Scout and Ms Casey / Gamme Scout will be back together

    Lumon’s goal is to use severance to end psychological trauma

    Outie Mark appears in S3E1 (no flashbacks)

    Milchick will turn against Lumon

    Mark fully reintegrates

    Mark and Gemma are no longer needed to complete Cold Harbor, as of S2 end

    By end of S3E1, Outie Gemma has talked to someone unaffiliated with Lumon about her experience

    Lumon is working on technology of resurrection

    Lumon willfully reveals the technology enabled by Cold Harbor to the public by end of S3E1

    Sometime between end of S2 and end of S3E1, Outie Mark and Gemma meet (not necessarily on screen)

    Lumon’s goal is to bring back Kier, either as a person or his consciousness in some form

    Cobel and Jame Eagen had a child

    Helena was pretending to be her innie in S2E01

    Cobel is Mark’s mother

    Some of Ricken’s eccentric friends (Patton, Rebeck and/or others) are or were severed

    Dylan will not stay alive through whole series

    Mammalian Nurturables’ outies are prisoners, homeless, and/or addicts

    Severance was designed for Helena

    Cobel/Selvig is or was previously severed

    There will be a successful suicide of one of the main characters

    Cobel/Selvig is related by blood to the Eagan family

    Mark Scout is from Eagan family

    Lumon is cloning people

    Miss Huang is from the testing floor

    Miss Huang is a young clone of Ms Casey

    Ms. Casey was a clone in S1

    MDR are working on retrieving/decoding/interpreting the consciousness or memory of dead people

    The goats are grown to be lab-rats for experiments

    100

    100

    87

    82

    82

    80

    78

    67

    67

    67

    64

    62

    62

    59

    57

    48

    45

    41

    37

    37

    37

    36

    34

    27

    21

    20

    20

    19

    14

    13

    13

    11

    11

    9

    8

    4

    0

    0

    0

    Will the HBO Max app still exist on July 1, 2027?

    Dec 5, 8:37 PMJul 1, 8:35 PM
    80.01%chance
    81707

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    2001

    500

    OptionProbability

    FloBikes

    Max

    Peacock

    Other

    ESPN

    Not Available

    Discovery+

    YouTube

    Apple TV+

    Amazon Prime

    GCN+ (Returns!)

    86

    4

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    OptionProbability

    >5bn

    >8bn

    >10bn

    >16bn

    > 20bn

    > 30bn

    89

    87

    79

    70

    47

    29

    Will the standalone Hulu app still exist on July 1, 2026?

    Aug 9, 5:28 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM
    48.13%chance
    111020

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1047

    972

    OptionProbability

    Paramount+

    Peacock

    Hulu

    Apple TV+

    Max

    Disney+

    Amazon Prime Video

    Netflix

    41

    23

    19

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    Neuromancer gets second season.

    Jul 3, 4:39 AMJan 30, 5:31 AM
    75.69%chance
    5164

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    176

    57

    will there be a Substack TV app for Fire TV?

    Jan 24, 5:33 AMMay 31, 4:28 AM
    40.68%chance
    499

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    121

    83

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    166

    60

    Will Ted Lasso season 4 be the worst season?

    Mar 25, 12:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    65.35%chance
    569

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    137

    73

    OptionProbability

    No.

    Yes: Netflix

    Yes: Amazon Prime Video

    Yes: Apple TV+

    Yes: Disney+

    Yes: HBO Max

    Yes: Hulu

    Yes: Paramount+

    Yes: Peacock

    Other

    77

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

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