Artificial Analysis News

Nvidia Unveils 9-Billion-Parameter Nemotron Nano Model With 6× Speed Boost

9 months ago

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2035?

Aug 7, 6:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21%chance

8538513

OptionVotes

YES

987

956

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Aug 10, 1:31 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

4.08%chance

12928463

OptionVotes

YES

8672

1615

Elon Musk (props)

Mar 7, 12:23 PMMar 7, 12:23 PM

3512359

OptionProbability

Elon Musk publicly calls for pausing advanced AI development or joins a major AI safety treaty by December 31, 2026

Optimus Gen 3 revealed by June 30, 2026

Neuralink implants surpass 1,000 humans by December 31, 2026

Starship V3 reaches orbit by May 1, 2026

Grok Imagine #1 on Artificial Analysis video leaderboard end of March

xAI releases Grok 4.5 or Grok 5 by March 14, 2026

Elon Musk visits China by March 14, 2026

Elon Musk visits India by March 14, 2026

Elon Musk visits Norway by March 13, 2026

Starship V3 reaches orbit by March 13, 2026

Grok 4.2 reaches No.1 on LMArena Text leaderboard by March 13, 2026

Optimus Gen 3 available for public purchase before March 13, 2026

Cybercab available for public purchase before March 13 2026

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Oct 15, 10:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.89%chance

338786

OptionVotes

YES

1151

872

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2030?

Aug 7, 6:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.1%chance

442875

OptionVotes

YES

1175

946

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

YES

1720

680

What is true of OpenAI's "spud" model?

Mar 25, 6:11 PMDec 31, 7:10 PM

422545

OptionProbability

It will be released by January 2027

It will be SOTA on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index

It will be released by May 2026

It is GPT 5.5 (including any variations, as long as GPT 5.5 is in the name)

It will have a METR 50% of 20+ hours

It uses a novel architecture

It is an open source model

It is GPT 6

It will have a modality beyond text, image, and video

100

Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?

Jul 16, 3:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

70.7%chance

4555

OptionVotes

YES

1553

644

Which company has the best LLM at the end of 2026? (Artificial analysis leaderboard)

Jan 5, 8:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14479

OptionProbability

Anthropic

Google

OpenAI

DeepSeek

xAI

Moonshot AI

Other

UK Parliament redefines 'person' to include AI for admin by '27?

Apr 14, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.51%chance

6409

OptionVotes

YES

414

Open "Nano Banana Pro"‑Level Model on a Gaming GPU by 2028?

Nov 23, 4:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.3%chance

485

OptionVotes

YES

147

Open Weights text-to-image model with Elo ≥ 1200 on Artificial Analysis by EOY 2026?

Apr 17, 7:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71%chance

232

OptionVotes

YES

121

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Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
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Nvidia Unveils 9-Billion-Parameter Nemotron Nano Model With 6× Speed Boost
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Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2035?

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Elon Musk (props)

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2030?

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

What is true of OpenAI's "spud" model?

Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?

Which company has the best LLM at the end of 2026? (Artificial analysis leaderboard)

UK Parliament redefines 'person' to include AI for admin by '27?

Open "Nano Banana Pro"‑Level Model on a Gaming GPU by 2028?

Open Weights text-to-image model with Elo ≥ 1200 on Artificial Analysis by EOY 2026?

Latest stories

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